CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Imperial
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e1c1b1e522fabd2df1d703923281c56284ae6b6e786bc6d4568a08636251019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Imperial | 1c | 2,992$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed B8 | 60c | 1,651$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.55 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Imperial | 40c | 1,395$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.85 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed B8 | 59c | 1,148$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Imperial | 41c | 1,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Imperial | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Imperial | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…965dbacked Imperial | 42c | 980$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed B8 | 58c | 823.03$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.03 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Imperial | 39c | 804.71$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.12 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…9281backed B8 | 58c | 655$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed B8 | 61c | 604.58$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Imperial | 30c | 467.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked B8 | 64c | 389.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…11e7backed B8 | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…19bcbacked B8 | 62c | 324.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Imperial | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed B8 | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Imperial | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…9404backed B8 | 42c | 189.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Imperial | 40c | 180.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…ab71backed B8 | 59c | 153.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Imperial | 39c | 108.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Imperial | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Imperial | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked Imperial | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked B8 | 57c | 81.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed B8 | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Imperial | 58c | 63.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed B8 | 61c | 49.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Imperial | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked B8 | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked B8 | 63c | 41.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed B8 | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…3d95backed B8 | 62c | 32.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Imperial | 50c | 29.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Imperial | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…38b1backed Imperial | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.