TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaacf…5f84backed No79c6,635$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,21839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes25c4,842$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.395429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed No64c2,372$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.823961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b6…2609backed Yes70c2,370$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c2,020$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5605750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5603647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f1…42a4backed No79c1,896$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.7450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes31c1,345$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.1537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No60c1,250$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.475550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed No5c1,186$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.621050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No75c1,169$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.1740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Yes79c971.14$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.143545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes24c900$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6845131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked No79c828.18$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.132138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes23c815$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No53c757.24$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9529643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes22c749.59$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.1817945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No20c665.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes24c553.74$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.8422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Yes78c538.97$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.935345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes79c536.77$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No38c483.87$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8719743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No78c421.45$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7319336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Yes24c416.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No45c391.38$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.264742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes22c387.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.131625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed No3c334.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113729.7%11 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+91.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Yes25c333.8$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+99%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No74c327.9$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3515554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked No50c322.8$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c321.12$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes48c308.71$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes79c301.41$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.311657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes35c279.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No34c269.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7916737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Yes76c252.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.711127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No28c251.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15442755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No78c180$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.418260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e92…07a6backed No77c168.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes26c167.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a1…dfc9backed Yes23c166.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+182.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc92c…b909backed Yes79c160$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Yes78c159.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.992259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes24c156.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.075747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…c40ebacked Yes79c140.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.512552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f4…1c68backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+96.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed No77c103.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe187…9676backed No78c102.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-57.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa75e…f537backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f36…f85abacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes22c99.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Yes79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f7…bbd8backed No79c75.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked No78c74.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…7acfbacked No80c72.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c4…8712backed No78c70.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8d…185fbacked No78c70.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ec…4279backed No77c68.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…1e29backed Yes23c67.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.892065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4782…6435backed Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52010%2 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.522932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9200…1fb9backed Yes27c60.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c2c…9cadbacked No79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe800…e861backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee90…6a03backed Yes25c49.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b9…8069backed No79c48.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…d389backed Yes22c47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.79633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+176.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No77c42.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9351…db66backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe264…c808backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+171.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5afc…ba0bbacked No78c39.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick65cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed No79c38.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…8151backed Yes76c36.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe291…234dbacked No78c36.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b04…b373backed No78c33.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67ec…f816backed No79c30.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0bf…14cfbacked No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…80d9backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x759a…5634backed Yes79c24.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…5157backed No61c22.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2856…ed0ebacked Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe51b…0754backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…087ebacked No77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa9…fdb5backed No78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Yes77c16.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.883040%12 W · 18 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf895…fb74backed No79c13.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.