Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa110eff966e8ac8e6ba998e50b609bef0d86df7fa41893d23aa27cda802ff620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 6,635$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,842$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.39 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 64c | 2,372$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.82 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Yes | 70c | 2,370$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,020$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed No | 79c | 1,896$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 31c | 1,345$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.15 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 60c | 1,250$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.47 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 5c | 1,186$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 75c | 1,169$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.17 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 79c | 971.14$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 24c | 900$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 79c | 828.18$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes | 23c | 815$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 53c | 757.24$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.95 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 22c | 749.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.18 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 20c | 665.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 24c | 553.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 78c | 538.97$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 79c | 536.77$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 38c | 483.87$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 78c | 421.45$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.73 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Yes | 24c | 416.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 45c | 391.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 22c | 387.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed No | 3c | 334.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Yes | 25c | 333.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +99%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 74c | 327.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked No | 50c | 322.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 321.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 308.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 79c | 301.41$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 279.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 34c | 269.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Yes | 76c | 252.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 251.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e92…07a6backed No | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 167.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…dfc9backed Yes | 23c | 166.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Yes | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Yes | 78c | 159.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 24c | 156.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 79c | 140.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed No | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…9676backed No | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…f537backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…f85abacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…bbd8backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked No | 78c | 74.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…7acfbacked No | 80c | 72.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…8712backed No | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…185fbacked No | 78c | 70.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed No | 77c | 68.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…1e29backed Yes | 23c | 67.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1fb9backed Yes | 27c | 60.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…9cadbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…6a03backed Yes | 25c | 49.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 79c | 48.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…c808backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…ba0bbacked No | 78c | 39.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 79c | 38.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Yes | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…234dbacked No | 78c | 36.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…b373backed No | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed No | 79c | 30.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…80d9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…5634backed Yes | 79c | 24.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…5157backed No | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…0754backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…087ebacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa9…fdb5backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Yes | 77c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…fb74backed No | 79c | 13.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.