TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c9,132$5,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.6279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No48c7,406$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,851.0122744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No48c4,544$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.0140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes52c4,227$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.85141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes14c4,209$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5945429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No73c3,128$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.084963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No49c3,055$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.8932158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Yes52c2,640$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.82142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes52c2,592$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.847651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…c31abacked Yes51c2,550$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb4…d478backed No49c2,550$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed No75c2,474$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.471968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e44…fee7backed Yes51c2,280$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf78…e99bbacked No49c2,280$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…da72backed No49c2,250$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088f…9c20backed Yes51c2,249$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes55c1,820$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9998633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes18c1,439$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes45c1,332$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…d389backed Yes4c1,150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+176.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes5c1,072$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.559027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes8c1,013$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c1,009$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9200…1fb9backed Yes10c1,006$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65fe…cef1backed Yes4c958.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Yes52c950$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2870%0 W · 7 L-4.3wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No51c931.42$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No75c851.29$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4929643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes53c759.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes7c715.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes24c665.33$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…8585backed No49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358e…b6d5backed Yes54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…6feebacked No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes52c586.9$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.193151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes52c546.15$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes7c506.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3425329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No48c499.92$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9617945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes52c499.81$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa5e…6a2cbacked No48c470.68$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af0…77ebbacked Yes52c470.68$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…8151backed Yes57c466.64$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Yes50c416.54$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x267a…425dbacked Yes18c399.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No79c396.38$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6334251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes52c384$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6820447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes52c337.17$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No49c321.12$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes32c311.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes52c289.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.815554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8d…6bdfbacked Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x653a…5ac4backed Yes52c257.63$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ece…cff3backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes51c250$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.53751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Yes40c247.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+379.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes51c229.41$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No49c216.14$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.146167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Yes53c206.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc160…b2f2backed No50c201.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9840…7189backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec33…65d8backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d4…83bbbacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c8…68ffbacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes51c197.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.399348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0424…3093backed Yes52c192.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6116…6465backed Yes52c186.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca01…8008backed Yes52c183.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked No67c178.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.13542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x509b…eb8cbacked Yes52c172.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc622…61a6backed Yes52c155.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-49.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No48c148.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4968…9519backed Yes53c144.21$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes39c139.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7518232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae59…761fbacked Yes52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a70…3052backed Yes52c133.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee90…6a03backed No49c132.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ec…4279backed Yes52c130.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.527967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x847f…08a5backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d34cbacked No49c111.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes52c100.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.173357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5314441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc92c…b909backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Yes50c99.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.482560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c6…6350backed Yes52c99.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4c…6cd2backed Yes52c99.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a1…8ba5backed Yes52c99.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.