Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d11b357a001530151f01196f16d41dfa46a0c0b11e7ad502a7189091569b5e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 13c | 12,672$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.52 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed No | 77c | 4,565$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,722$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 1,600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,565$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 24c | 1,238$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 74c | 1,149$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked No | 78c | 1,055$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 942.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 817.56$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 692.3$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 16c | 613.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed No | 75c | 468.03$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 26c | 433.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…3d3bbacked Yes | 27c | 418.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 410.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 75c | 377.87$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 321.12$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 256.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 245$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 73c | 221.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 23c | 203.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked No | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…947bbacked No | 75c | 182.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 174.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 74c | 117.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 26c | 115.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 75c | 99.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…6a03backed No | 76c | 88.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 85.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…242cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…7f11backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…1e29backed Yes | 27c | 50.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…3019backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…789ebacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…ddbfbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 79c | 36.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…069bbacked No | 74c | 33.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-15?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.