CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276aa7c9159fd6a5bbcde0400759974567da0b978c9be23136700535050f31cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 41c | 49,050$20,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,698.63 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed No | 42c | 32,451$13,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,730.33 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Yes | 58c | 30,897$17,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,920.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Yes | 46c | 23,814$10,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,937.97 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 56c | 14,009$7,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.83 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 45c | 13,806$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.2 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Yes | 59c | 10,827$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.91 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 58c | 9,680$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 59c | 8,983$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 1c | 8,947$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed No | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.95 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed No | 41c | 7,652$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.86 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Yes | 53c | 6,651$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.6 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes | 45c | 6,500$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked Yes | 65c | 6,244$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.39 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 57c | 5,170$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.92 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Yes | 25c | 4,792$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.79 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 58c | 4,400$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 41c | 4,369$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 59c | 4,050$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.23 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 57c | 3,928$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 39c | 3,883$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.53 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked Yes | 59c | 2,527$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 68c | 2,440$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.2 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed No | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,373$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.07 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 42c | 2,268$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Yes | 60c | 2,119$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.52 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,049$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.47 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,920$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.37 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Yes | 51c | 1,767$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Yes | 58c | 1,761$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.51 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 43c | 1,757$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.04 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…6ae4backed Yes | 62c | 1,600$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…de5dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,394$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 58c | 1,385$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.55 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…a99abacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 37c | 1,076$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.79 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 32c | 1,052$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.66 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed No | 38c | 1,045$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked No | 36c | 1,008$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 15c | 932$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 53c | 929$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 52c | 823$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes | 57c | 811.44$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 52c | 805.98$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…093ebacked Yes | 59c | 802.2$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…fba3backed Yes | 17c | 650.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 49c | 634.97$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…5d9cbacked Yes | 58c | 575.72$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Yes | 37c | 529.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Yes | 54c | 524.34$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…1ce7backed Yes | 61c | 519.48$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Yes | 57c | 492.11$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Yes | 66c | 454.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 52c | 450.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked No | 50c | 436.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 431.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 29c | 426.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 58c | 425$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Yes | 42c | 355.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -77%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 59c | 348.07$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 58c | 345.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…9ad8backed Yes | 61c | 339.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…a10fbacked No | 40c | 334.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Yes | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…6c7ebacked Yes | 61c | 333.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…f6edbacked No | 40c | 328.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…2344backed Yes | 61c | 325.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…4d61backed No | 40c | 325.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…55f6backed Yes | 61c | 324.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…bde6backed No | 41c | 321.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…c640backed No | 40c | 320.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…ed45backed Yes | 58c | 317.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd825…7d51backed No | 40c | 313.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Yes | 59c | 312.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…c7ebbacked Yes | 61c | 310.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…e15ebacked Yes | 51c | 303.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…2200backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Yes | 41c | 294.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed No | 39c | 257.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?this page
- Will Astralis win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?Yes won
- Will FaZe Clan win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will G2 Esports win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Team Falcons win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Team Liquid win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Virtus.pro win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will paiN Gaming win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.