TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d7f…f6ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+42.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$67.59
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.43
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$61.06
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.05
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.28
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.91
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.3
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.69
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$72.82
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$86.7
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$61.12
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$72.78
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$32.2
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$80.57
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$64.42
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$154.74
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$49.67
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.41
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$99.1
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$118.22
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$169.25
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$226.65
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$439.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$57.17
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$75.93
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.67
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$110.88
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.12
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$71.25
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$53.48
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$58.77
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$38.5
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$59.18
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$74.03
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.11
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$58.58
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$61.68
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$67.18
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$124.39
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$107.43
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$246.57
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$315.01
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$263.09
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$337
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.1%+$262.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+73.7%+$179.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$198.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$86.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$97.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$74.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.