TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Blues, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$992,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,040,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $992,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 943 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blues50c260,509$129,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,254.4467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Sharks50c250,000$125,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,00016442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Sharks51c182,269$92,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,483.7411644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues50c170,000$85,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,699.9448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Sharks49c125,486$61,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,692.4714650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blues49c49,303$24,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,208.3636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Blues51c35,550$18,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,130.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Sharks50c26,766$13,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,409.1248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Blues0c20,018$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.142814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks60c19,917$11,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,053.3627448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Blues50c18,888$9,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,44421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a0…cec6backed Blues50c18,652$9,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,326.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks73c17,500$12,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Sharks74c12,915$9,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.92470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues49c11,910$5,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,836.0243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Sharks50c9,997$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.512950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Sharks75c9,693$7,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.192853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks70c8,727$6,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.471,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blues50c8,142$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,07185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Blues50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Sharks50c8,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,98011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blues51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks50c7,951$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,975.5175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blues50c7,910$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,95579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Blues50c7,311$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.5238849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blues49c6,946$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues51c6,808$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.311,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks50c6,587$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.41,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Sharks50c6,000$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks50c5,980$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.6914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks73c5,052$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.9489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Blues49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blues50c4,765$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.4161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sharks66c4,475$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.3314757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sharks50c4,112$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.866253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Sharks74c4,100$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0667358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks49c4,076$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.581,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Blues50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Sharks53c3,964$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.513240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…c6b5backed Sharks49c3,922$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.39887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+70.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Blues51c3,918$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9932151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Sharks74c3,600$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9365959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Blues50c3,394$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.6627850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Blues22c3,212$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.692142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Blues47c3,166$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Sharks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blues51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues49c3,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Blues51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed Sharks74c2,665$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Sharks52c2,650$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues50c2,616$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.7560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues50c2,600$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blues40c2,515$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.32,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues44c2,268$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.173,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Sharks52c2,100$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.015246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Blues2c2,099$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.67333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…d20bbacked Blues50c2,089$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…6479backed Sharks50c2,089$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Blues30c2,058$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.5933234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e0…d407backed Sharks75c2,050$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sharks51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Blues43c1,914$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.8840152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed Sharks55c1,780$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blues47c1,775$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.181,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Blues50c1,763$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.7413446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Sharks57c1,734$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.785950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Blues36c1,683$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.1910540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Blues49c1,629$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues18c1,544$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blues50c1,471$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.3456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sharks49c1,331$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.591,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Blues62c1,321$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Blues49c1,293$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6112152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x457b…59acbacked Blues50c1,176$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Blues50c1,137$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4613333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Blues50c1,127$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.3831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Blues12c1,111$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.324912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Sharks51c1,091$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8112653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Sharks50c1,089$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadac…f586backed Sharks51c1,064$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues39c1,026$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.571,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Blues50c1,005$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blues48c1,001$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Blues26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Sharks68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3208860.2%53 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Blues39c989.98$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6132653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Sharks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3929551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks63c973.62$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6255446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Blues49c914.21$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45112258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Sharks68c893.71$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6137754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Sharks46c877.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7817353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks76c828.77$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.891,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Blues51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40838445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues40c779.64$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blues51c735.29$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37515252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.