NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62916dea797ef23fa1b54dec137078940fa6419bd55aef4e638265a720b82b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 5,314$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.04 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 943.09$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 58c | 657$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.06 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 42c | 578.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 494.55$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 44c | 441$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 59c | 231.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 205.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 41c | 204.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 57c | 175.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 35c | 125.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Under | 59c | 93.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 85.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 50c | 80.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 41c | 76.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 42c | 73.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 66.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 42c | 57.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 45.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Over | 44c | 33.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 58c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. SharksSharks won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Sharks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.