NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf54672d9aae1f99651f6e98e613e279686f8c89c9c49ab89a2e6cb5b774b4fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 46c | 2,842$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.7 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 44c | 1,323$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.05 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 217.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…4f4dbacked Under | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0660…baf5backed Over | 54c | 196.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7217backed Under | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…e651backed Over | 54c | 195.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491f…f8edbacked Over | 54c | 192.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…bdbfbacked Over | 54c | 188.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…b751backed Under | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…2476backed Under | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…1f79backed Over | 54c | 185.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…e34ebacked Under | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…a0d5backed Over | 54c | 184.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…aa9fbacked Under | 46c | 184.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a55…b0e1backed Over | 54c | 184.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…e87ebacked Under | 46c | 183$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…a1b1backed Over | 54c | 179.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…333fbacked Over | 54c | 179.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…3a83backed Under | 46c | 179$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…8611backed Over | 54c | 177.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3d…1da5backed Under | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…c740backed Over | 54c | 171.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…cb21backed Under | 46c | 171$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ad…a810backed Under | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 70.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 34c | 65.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 58.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 52c | 53.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 43.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 35.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 75c | 35.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 76c | 25.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 45c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. SharksSharks won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Sharks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.