TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Predators, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$847,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,023,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Predators47c174,097$82,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,801.6419848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders54c140,000$75,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,899.8467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Predators46c90,000$41,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,60048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders52c74,490$38,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,735.2138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Predators48c74,016$35,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,488.534654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders53c35,493$18,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,861.991,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Islanders54c32,447$17,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,380.668252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Predators45c27,825$12,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,303.5911052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Predators46c27,408$12,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,800.281,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Islanders53c25,702$13,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,494.8148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Islanders53c21,894$11,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,603.7112047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Islanders53c15,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,90066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders55c14,087$7,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,748.6861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Islanders52c12,604$6,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,558.9341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Islanders53c12,178$6,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,477.961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders55c11,593$6,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4071,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Islanders0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders53c9,311$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923.151,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Islanders54c8,241$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4503844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders43c7,598$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.6489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Islanders53c6,619$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.178450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Islanders19c6,500$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.532,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5101,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Predators45c5,800$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1905552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Predators68c5,790$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.0182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Islanders79c5,477$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.236835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Islanders52c4,735$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.192,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Predators44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2407347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Predators49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9915145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Islanders55c3,997$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.226949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Islanders55c3,833$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10828152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators44c3,776$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.323,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Islanders53c3,748$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders54c3,736$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.5657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Islanders56c3,202$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Predators43c3,007$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.4395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Predators46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Predators45c2,883$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.6554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders53c2,628$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.0461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Predators44c2,591$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.8933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators47c2,402$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.0636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Predators45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders54c2,381$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.0110565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Predators45c2,211$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.1133950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Predators46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18822946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Predators47c2,100$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.3814142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Predators45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10040049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Predators46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders61c1,992$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.51,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders52c1,910$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.21,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Islanders55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Predators45c1,800$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders52c1,782$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators44c1,662$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.641,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Islanders54c1,550$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8375154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Predators47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders55c1,485$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.791,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Islanders51c1,431$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7307358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Predators46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.354240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Predators46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9842847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Islanders53c1,019$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Islanders52c1,004$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.261,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Predators46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Islanders55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55025555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Islanders55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Islanders55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Predators46c925.91$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders53c882.98$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders52c853.78$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Predators45c846$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.325045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Predators46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43225552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders51c754.37$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.471,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc6…a7c8backed Predators46c730$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Islanders57c717.11$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.271,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…d8e2backed Islanders55c710$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecf7…71c8backed Islanders55c680$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Islanders54c680$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.176946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Islanders66c676.73$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.6421856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…ca5fbacked Predators46c660$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Islanders56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Islanders52c595.54$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6845955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Predators73c593.56$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4621040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Islanders52c577$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Predators45c568.21$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5227357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders55c557.48$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.452,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f8…652dbacked Predators45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.562050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Islanders6c547.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Islanders55c535.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6119964.3%128 W · 71 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Islanders49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.74323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Islanders54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Islanders54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.