NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa312a376e90d0319b01c5dcb57abcf5c544b91e556e56fd82f1b23cb4aec8b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 69c | 19,606$13,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.88 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Utah | 50c | 14,347$7,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.56 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Utah | 47c | 11,395$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.27 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Utah | 49c | 10,109$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.61 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Utah | 48c | 9,294$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.15 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 53c | 8,400$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Capitals | 32c | 7,986$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.59 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 54c | 6,696$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.47 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 45c | 6,159$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 9c | 6,035$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Capitals | 31c | 5,961$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.83 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 50c | 5,553$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.63 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Capitals | 53c | 4,380$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.74 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah | 49c | 4,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.88 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.71 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 46c | 3,430$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.52 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Capitals | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Capitals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.95 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 29c | 2,883$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.43 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Capitals | 52c | 2,141$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.32 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Capitals | 12c | 2,117$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Utah | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dba…daa8backed Utah | 48c | 1,902$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…5d36backed Capitals | 53c | 1,902$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 47c | 1,843$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.48 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Capitals | 46c | 1,721$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 29c | 1,707$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Capitals | 53c | 1,697$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.68 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,663$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 47c | 1,644$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.8 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 52c | 1,388$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.74 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Capitals | 26c | 1,341$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.85 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 52c | 1,340$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.71 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Utah | 70c | 1,191$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.31 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Capitals | 16c | 1,145$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Utah | 75c | 1,017$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.86 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…750cbacked Capitals | 22c | 1,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Capitals | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Capitals | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Capitals | 52c | 914.05$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.2 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Capitals | 54c | 850$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Utah | 45c | 811.09$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.75 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…d4d2backed Utah | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Capitals | 42c | 755.56$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.63 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Capitals | 31c | 731.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah | 78c | 719.91$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…f2bfbacked Utah | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Utah | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…608bbacked Capitals | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Capitals | 18c | 631.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Capitals | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Capitals | 23c | 595.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 27c | 569.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Capitals | 53c | 557.16$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 74c | 554.82$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 53c | 553.22$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.21 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Utah | 47c | 530.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Capitals | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…1e92backed Capitals | 54c | 449.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 50c | 423.86$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…e838backed Capitals | 54c | 418.48$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked Utah | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Utah | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Utah | 69c | 393.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Utah | 47c | 366$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Capitals | 18c | 363$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…b1aabacked Capitals | 54c | 354.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65f…d24abacked Capitals | 54c | 353.62$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…e718backed Capitals | 54c | 347.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…c251backed Utah | 47c | 346.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…5072backed Capitals | 54c | 346.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…de3cbacked Capitals | 29c | 346.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…5003backed Utah | 47c | 346.09$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…90adbacked Capitals | 54c | 345.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…b59bbacked Utah | 47c | 341.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…262dbacked Capitals | 54c | 341.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…9714backed Utah | 47c | 340.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b113backed Capitals | 54c | 339.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 22c | 335.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…3a56backed Utah | 47c | 334.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…33a2backed Utah | 47c | 332.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…4117backed Utah | 47c | 330.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Capitals | 31c | 307.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Capitals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Utah | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Utah | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 51c | 298.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Capitals | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Capitals | 45c | 279.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Capitals | 52c | 270$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…aa8ebacked Utah | 47c | 241.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Capitalsthis page
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.