TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Rockets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,222,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,280,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,222,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks64c111,064$71,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,767.461,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Rockets40c89,226$35,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,690.318944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Rockets47c83,376$39,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,58410746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks60c75,434$45,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,173.491,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Knicks56c69,897$39,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,486.1244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Rockets39c66,089$25,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,774.8343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets40c65,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Knicks6c50,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,999.8810158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Knicks59c49,999$29,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,499.5819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks35c45,695$15,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,839.991,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78df…7d18backed Knicks61c38,648$23,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,072.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks60c35,859$21,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,442.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks61c33,000$20,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,87059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Rockets36c30,040$10,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,696.9951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets40c29,778$12,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,031.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Knicks16c24,847$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,918.388036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Rockets46c23,834$11,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,003.2962652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Rockets41c23,000$9,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4305648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Rockets40c22,222$8,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,888.823245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Knicks60c22,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks50c20,564$10,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,370.161,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks33c20,564$6,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,802.0277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks61c20,252$12,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,996.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Rockets39c20,000$7,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.219751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Rockets40c19,987$7,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,994.9920947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Rockets40c19,492$7,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,796.87035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks42c19,331$8,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,287.471,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks60c18,031$10,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Knicks60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.6726648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Knicks60c16,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Rockets40c16,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks29c15,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,649.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Knicks17c14,765$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,316.212045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Rockets36c14,190$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,134.8132151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets29c14,011$4,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.9737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Rockets40c14,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks52c13,535$6,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,542.5148956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Rockets45c13,478$6,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,065.295139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Rockets46c13,303$6,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,150.9912938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Knicks60c13,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9721951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets40c12,453$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b06…fbf1backed Knicks61c11,246$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.92254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Knicks60c10,833$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.3313063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks47c10,812$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,701.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks34c10,697$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,092.9535650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Rockets76c10,625$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,061.982864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09fe…6053backed Rockets0c10,412$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-75.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Knicks54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6003333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Knicks60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Knicks28c10,000$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,177.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5815…a7c8backed Knicks61c8,500$5,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Knicks25c8,493$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,373.3634136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets5c8,194$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.841,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks72c8,132$5,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.8893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Knicks61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Rockets41c8,000$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.9812844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Rockets41c7,777$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.5736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Rockets25c7,713$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.9814533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets38c7,465$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.421,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Rockets27c7,379$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef9…1450backed Knicks33c7,175$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.01757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Rockets40c7,000$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.986023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Knicks63c6,970$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.87651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks37c6,946$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.7889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks60c6,773$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Rockets40c6,540$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.9421549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Knicks60c6,493$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.396259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Rockets42c6,356$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64010952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Knicks38c6,026$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.073751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Knicks24c6,000$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,57918536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets76c5,902$4,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.161,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…b069backed Knicks61c5,666$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks22c5,555$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.8927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets39c5,450$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.4245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Rockets63c5,431$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Rockets40c5,372$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9523047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Rockets71c5,187$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Knicks53c5,120$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.221944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfab…2b1bbacked Rockets44c5,100$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Knicks18c5,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Knicks22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.992035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets79c4,661$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets2c4,661$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x797d…b890backed Rockets74c4,575$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.734153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Rockets43c4,557$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.0811344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Knicks24c4,513$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,443.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Rockets44c4,485$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.057945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Rockets37c4,105$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.968530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets40c4,059$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.451,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Rockets56c4,036$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.5823833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Knicks60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockets40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Rockets56c4,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Rockets76c3,962$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,015.835253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Knicks60c3,800$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5202965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Rockets40c3,800$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.983129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Rockets27c3,724$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks9c3,586$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.491,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Knicks60c3,521$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.4213155%72 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Knicks31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.813455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.