NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f2d52e57e1ef0b40f9a74fd32f1907c80572753644a8fec1200ea51645d9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Knicks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 49c | 9,127$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 44c | 4,760$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Knicks | 56c | 3,632$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.03 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Rockets | 53c | 3,496$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.22 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 46c | 2,662$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 48c | 1,675$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,617$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 46c | 1,543$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 55c | 1,449$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.95 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Knicks | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 45c | 1,061$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.67 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 45c | 982.67$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Knicks | 46c | 837.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.95 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Knicks | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 54c | 418.49$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 44c | 414.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks | 51c | 303.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Rockets | 46c | 262$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Knicks | 55c | 257.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rockets | 45c | 202.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Knicks | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Knicks | 54c | 199.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Rockets | 46c | 131$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 46c | 127.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…86e4backed Knicks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Knicks | 65c | 97.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Rockets | 52c | 96.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…04bbbacked Rockets | 54c | 62.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 47c | 61.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Rockets | 56c | 60.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Knicks | 54c | 54.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Knicks | 56c | 53.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets | 51c | 50.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Knicks | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 45c | 42.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Rockets | 55c | 35.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Rockets | 53c | 34.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Knicks | 55c | 31.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Knicks | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 47c | 28.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…688ebacked Rockets | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Rockets | 46c | 24.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Knicks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Knicks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Knicks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.