NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6f5d82e49040420782fe00713ce45350208c884fae701127c461d5feb3d36d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 15,683$7,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 6,847$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Over | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 58c | 1,762$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,629$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Over | 52c | 1,469$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,421$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 1,245$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,068$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 916.1$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Under | 46c | 845.46$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 751$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.07 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 703$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 448$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 64c | 317.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 313.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 283.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 260.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 56c | 240$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Under | 51c | 196.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 59c | 170.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Over | 70c | 157$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 111.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 106.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 101.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 46c | 95.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 82.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 67.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 42c | 62.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 67c | 54.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 52c | 53.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 44c | 53.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 54c | 51.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…bcbbbacked Under | 46c | 35.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 59c | 29.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 24.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.