TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Over59c13,805$8,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,185.3751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under42c13,126$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,596.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under43c9,687$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.4622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Over59c8,475$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over54c4,328$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.318041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c3,868$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over50c2,871$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c2,567$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c2,472$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.9469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under37c2,459$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.11,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over73c1,729$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.0417051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c1,596$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.2658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over56c1,326$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,317$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c1,200$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.191,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under36c949.94$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.961,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c909.16$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.863,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under39c746$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.7366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under40c720.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.61,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c621$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over64c619.9$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c570.18$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over53c556$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c441.54$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.623,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under39c404.37$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Over70c387$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.96253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under39c369.7$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c317.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under47c313.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over44c300.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.012,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18045646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under21c294.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0315534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Over56c290$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.94151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c272.53$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under73c236$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over30c184.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.021,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over56c177.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6220536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over66c151.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9919045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Over70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over72c138.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c133.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.291,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over54c121.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2922055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under33c100.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6810028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over59c98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.331,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over55c95.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.051,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over66c94.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6421748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Under43c94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.586333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c91.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.541,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c90.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c90.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.931,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under32c80.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3239047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over77c79.58$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.558944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b30…5bf9backed Over63c63.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over43c58.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182c…2f2cbacked Over71c54.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under39c53.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.715,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under40c53.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under40c52.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.350841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under39c48.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7634641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under35c48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under38c46.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9933159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f2…3de3backed Under43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.08944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8212364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c40.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c40.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.443,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c37.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.781,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under36c37.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.114643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over65c32.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1813950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Under58c32.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Over64c31.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Under39c30.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.778636%31 W · 55 L-11.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under40c30.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over64c28.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9852246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under45c27.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…e8ffbacked Over60c26.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under47c26.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.136350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Under45c26.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.662642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over64c16.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3453349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.