TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,617 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe235…aba2backed Over55c512.96$282 inWon+$230.8318345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under45c511.2$230 inLost-$229.9552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under38c251.37$96 inLost-$95.5235843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470d…7278backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under47c210.82$99 inLost-$99.0934855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c199.28$106 inWon+$93.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over54c192.04$104 inWon+$88.3945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over55c143.19$79 inWon+$64.443,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over58c137.03$80 inWon+$57.0395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over52c135.37$70 inWon+$65.3714742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under49c133.99$65 inLost-$65.2165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over78c120$94 inWon+$26.422170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under32c102.24$32 inLost-$32.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c100.85$55 inWon+$46.033,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over62c91.58$57 inWon+$34.828147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon+$36.2112464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c83.05$40 inLost-$40.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under42c81.64$34 inLost-$34.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over69c72.54$50 inWon+$22.544965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03a…a7bdbacked Over63c63.49$40 inWon+$23.492657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c62.14$31 inWon+$31.071,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c56.9$27 inLost-$27.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c45.03$17 inLost-$16.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under33c40$13 inLost-$13.290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c38$17 inLost-$17.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under37c36.93$14 inLost-$13.652,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c32.03$15 inLost-$15.051,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Over64c31.23$20 inWon+$11.2333552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c31$14 inLost-$13.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over67c30$20 inWon+$9.961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over57c29.75$17 inWon+$12.8716369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under41c28.22$12 inLost-$11.639047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c25.66$14 inWon+$11.741,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Over61c21.5$13 inWon+$8.3110558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Over69c21.01$14 inWon+$6.5411352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.