TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over53c74,878$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0004355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under49c35,927$17,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,470.1551350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c11,680$5,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,232.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over52c6,449$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.2751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c5,011$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.32,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c4,048$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c3,492$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c3,300$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.6664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c3,207$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c2,916$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.974,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c2,558$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.882,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under49c2,539$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.7820948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over31c2,156$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.241,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8264944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c2,026$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under63c1,589$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.991,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Under51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.634862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff1…49cebacked Under49c1,563$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.273956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,378$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under47c1,352$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.842648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under46c1,333$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9532150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under48c1,230$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.4824050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93f…d166backed Under65c1,227$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c1,193$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.473,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over50c848.77$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3935942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c834.43$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over63c803.23$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over52c735.89$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over15c730.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.651,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c686$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.721,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c665.71$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31249345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c562.58$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under63c552$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under42c301.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c267.14$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c221.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0852146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4912047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.084367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c174.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.261,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Under59c168.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.638563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c143.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7360346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c109.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.635,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over52c106.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1755533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over15c103$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4517243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0443447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Over54c92.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over55c90.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c89.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c87.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.123,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over22c81.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6333554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over45c81.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over59c76.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.274254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c74.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c73.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c73.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Over54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over47c56.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8916867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd881…ea25backed Over51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x731f…6d78backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Under48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2658754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Under51c49.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2814040%56 W · 84 L-13.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4812841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under52c46.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…99bebacked Over54c41.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.312138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…6324backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Under65c38.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.565160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over52c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6234641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under55c35.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9416369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd79a…9167backed Under58c35.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under51c32.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9435843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd645…a7a3backed Under48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Over64c31.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2512961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e845backed Under49c30.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.398451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.