NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18f5ba3aea2acfd103e0801f13023dadf844e11e8a569167c16235b1b95fe6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 60c | 8,192$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.28 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 3,577$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 42c | 3,207$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 33c | 2,263$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.98 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 1,090$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 39c | 1,044$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 37c | 897.58$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.97 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Over | 66c | 757.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 60c | 656.27$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 566$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 18c | 498.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 446.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 446.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 408.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 314.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 257.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 38c | 230.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 49c | 205.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 43c | 187.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…7278backed Under | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…270fbacked Over | 59c | 170.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 32c | 159.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 35c | 156.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 68c | 146.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 64c | 98.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 43c | 94.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 56c | 75.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 33c | 73.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed Under | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 34c | 59.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 36c | 55.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 33c | 53.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Over | 62c | 51.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 45.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 42.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 40.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 38.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 64c | 38.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…e482backed Under | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 68c | 36.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…bf81backed Under | 36c | 36.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 43c | 36.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…75b0backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…5945backed Over | 55c | 32.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…18e8backed Under | 41c | 31.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 64c | 29.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…df6fbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…7ff0backed Over | 65c | 21.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…ed8bbacked Over | 66c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 66c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…ffe9backed Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…fca8backed Over | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.