NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf37c5c758c71ea42b9607405ae152d3a9bd0358885eeacea772c75d5054d271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Knicks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 47c | 234,351$110,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,206.04 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Knicks | 53c | 216,984$115,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 49c | 121,166$59,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,649.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks | 51c | 99,250$50,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,617.69 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…df4abacked Knicks | 53c | 52,345$27,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,491.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 48c | 31,328$15,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,135.21 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 51c | 24,815$12,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,615.79 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Knicks | 51c | 24,000$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,240 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Rockets | 47c | 22,000$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,659.97 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Rockets | 49c | 20,378$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,377.74 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.01 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rockets | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 50c | 17,146$8,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,615.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 51c | 14,419$7,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 51c | 13,344$6,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,782.63 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 53c | 12,649$6,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,648.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets | 49c | 11,685$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.56 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Knicks | 51c | 9,180$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.25 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Knicks | 51c | 8,856$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.58 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 46c | 6,967$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rockets | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks | 53c | 6,428$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.01 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Knicks | 50c | 5,939$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.4 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Knicks | 52c | 4,278$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.39 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 51c | 3,987$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.62 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks | 13c | 2,925$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets | 51c | 2,638$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.48 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Knicks | 49c | 2,069$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.92 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 49c | 2,063$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Knicks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,770$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.4 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks | 50c | 1,674$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.67 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…069ebacked Knicks | 50c | 1,666$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…a3f6backed Rockets | 50c | 1,659$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Rockets | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Rockets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Rockets | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.86 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Knicks | 52c | 1,238$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.76 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 48c | 1,176$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Rockets | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Rockets | 48c | 949.74$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.86 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Rockets | 50c | 866.63$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.32 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Knicks | 54c | 861.49$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.52 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 49c | 842.73$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.79 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked Knicks | 50c | 805$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Rockets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Knicks | 23c | 800$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…bc07backed Rockets | 50c | 797$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 51c | 744$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.44 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Rockets | 49c | 619.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Knicks | 7c | 544.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 537$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Knicks | 38c | 525.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Knicks | 24c | 516.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Knicks | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Knicks | 53c | 460.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 458.53$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.71 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks | 39c | 456.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Rockets | 50c | 452.48$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Rockets | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Knicks | 28c | 419.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Knicks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Rockets | 69c | 331.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks | 51c | 319.61$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Knicks | 51c | 306$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Rockets | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Knicks | 50c | 298$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Rockets | 53c | 285.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Knicks | 45c | 276.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 14c | 275$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 48c | 269.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Knicks | 50c | 264.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Knicks | 9c | 263$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 11cpaid | +378%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Rockets | 45c | 261.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Rockets | 63c | 237.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 49c | 232.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Rockets | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 51c | 223$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Knicks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Rockets | 59c | 220.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 49c | 205$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Rockets | 50c | 201.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Rockets | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Rockets | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.