NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a54a268baa3b9acbe48e64112addd80acb3082c5230c76ebf14737144ed2e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 55c | 18,138$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 16,901$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,160.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 53c | 9,692$5,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.76 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 7,687$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Over | 56c | 6,262$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 3,126$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 50c | 2,135$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,041$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 1,778$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.84 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,610$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 1,456$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 53c | 1,382$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.54 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,035$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 480.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 54c | 274.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 261.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 249$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 179.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 125.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 64c | 118.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 107.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…df5abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 88.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 53c | 50.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Under | 46c | 47.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 49c | 45.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 35.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 54c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 19.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.