TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Red Wings, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$753,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Red Wings44c383,423$169,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169,526.7910840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Utah56c348,890$194,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,971.9867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah56c94,448$52,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,865.541,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings44c53,735$23,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,741.8161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings45c21,757$9,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,790.8228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Red Wings0c17,935$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6718520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings45c15,694$6,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,987.211,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings44c15,000$6,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,55061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Utah55c11,689$6,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.9322443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Utah55c11,453$6,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,154.0247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Red Wings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Utah55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9832946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Utah55c7,448$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.321,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings43c6,500$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7951,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Utah55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Red Wings45c6,000$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.9910848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Utah56c5,405$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.3818258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Utah56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Utah55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9913948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah57c4,737$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.8433243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Utah56c4,162$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.067347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings45c4,000$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings45c3,409$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.0548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings45c3,244$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Red Wings44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.966341.3%26 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings30c2,750$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Utah56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.574259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah56c2,662$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.461,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings44c2,611$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.932,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings45c2,530$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.8779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Red Wings44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Red Wings45c2,223$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.357138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings44c2,222$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings44c2,164$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Red Wings44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Red Wings44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9825446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Red Wings45c1,942$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.9185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Utah57c1,933$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.7289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings45c1,810$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Utah56c1,802$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.798664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Utah55c1,780$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80161959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah74c1,760$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.741,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings21c1,592$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah56c1,530$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Red Wings23c1,164$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4539344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Wings45c1,115$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Red Wings45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked Red Wings45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Red Wings45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Red Wings45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4955736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Utah55c1,080$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4862540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Red Wings44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9912445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Red Wings44c999.91$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Utah56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39619353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah73c886.33$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Utah56c883.93$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.938257.3%47 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings43c813.57$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.161,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings44c808$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…c31cbacked Red Wings44c747.73$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…1e50backed Red Wings45c720$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bc6…a7c8backed Utah56c710$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Red Wings45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3158938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Red Wings9c687.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9211127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5593…6be6backed Utah56c680$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb6…a888backed Red Wings45c670$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Red Wings2c667.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7381157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Utah55c660$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29713053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Utah56c607.14$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Red Wings45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27028447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings20c568.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.62,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings13c560.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings45c550$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.522352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Utah56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7130657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Wings44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Red Wings44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings45c450$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed2…9ff6backed Red Wings44c445.45$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Red Wings45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006533.8%22 W · 43 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Red Wings45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Red Wings45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Utah57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.629946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Utah57c438$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3410438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf013…8f55backed Utah58c429.4$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Red Wings45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd7…029abacked Utah57c389.92$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.922055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah71c381.39$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.042,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2048…e1d3backed Utah57c364.2$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a8…062dbacked Utah57c361.22$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Red Wings17c360$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…be90backed Utah57c358.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.082272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+50.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Utah57c351.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.367556%42 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Utah56c351.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.792352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556f…87a0backed Red Wings44c350.02$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36d…80fdbacked Red Wings44c349.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ea…9d5bbacked Utah57c348.04$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.