NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cda22a7c139cafdede6a1432d48b3da0968e7bfa483873150fe80502ca2ab9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 350,000$192,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,499.98 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 45c | 250,000$112,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,499.97 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 185,963$83,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,279.9 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 55c | 105,685$58,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,127.01 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 45c | 28,105$12,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,461.83 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 11,899$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,584.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 55c | 10,909$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 55c | 9,113$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.71 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 5,782$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.82 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 45c | 5,487$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 45c | 4,440$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.99 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Over | 55c | 3,776$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 45c | 2,755$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 2,664$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.25 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 2,254$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 1,955$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 1,874$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 45c | 1,486$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.34 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 45c | 1,327$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.85 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 478.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Over | 56c | 468.28$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 45c | 450.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Over | 55c | 409.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 46c | 297.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 18c | 158.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Over | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 37c | 104$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 88.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 46c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 55c | 35.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 45c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Red Wings vs. UtahUtah won
- Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.