TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$652,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$653,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under56c508,856$284,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,901.3620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c350,000$154,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under56c125,014$70,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,006.2567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over44c34,090$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over44c13,636$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over44c11,364$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over44c11,111$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.8413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c4,777$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.432,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c1,572$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.641,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c1,474$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.452,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30816241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Over45c585.93$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.671020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over45c577.78$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under54c539.48$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1627548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over44c510$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.410860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over43c497.25$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8126243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under57c352.72$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6789547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under57c349.86$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4423754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c344.18$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c325.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.411,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c318$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…7584backed Over44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ac…2108backed Under53c239.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.711384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.27157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c217.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.392,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over45c213.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under57c208.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c204.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.082,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under56c203.52$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4455446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf920…2febbacked Over44c146.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over45c138$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.113557.8%78 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2639751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.459948.5%48 W · 51 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445437%20 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4527453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4426547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Over45c83.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Under44c80.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under58c78.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under58c75.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8617356.6%98 W · 75 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under58c73.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7426657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Under56c69.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4b…688dbacked Under57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.364143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over35c50.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8311153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4712…b584backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb0…8cc7backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf97…4653backed Over44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f95…30e6backed Over44c42.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over47c35.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0121856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fba…e094backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf55…f0babacked Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over38c33.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.715064%32 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Over44c32.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.473467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.174054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.215155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.822655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Over43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under57c23.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under57c23.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3744…3e65backed Over44c22.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over55c21.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0713954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Under71c20.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.915060%30 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926357.8%152 W · 111 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under73c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8633756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Under57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.