TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Blues, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,425,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,478,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,425,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 770 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Oilers59c487,160$286,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,039.0320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Blues42c287,691$120,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,787.764654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blues41c150,000$61,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,50038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Blues41c100,000$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues42c92,451$39,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,279.3348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Oilers58c75,382$43,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,714.1111052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Blues41c51,561$21,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,139.98354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Oilers58c45,000$26,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,9008657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blues42c42,312$17,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,644.61,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues42c39,479$16,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,439.5956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Oilers58c35,000$20,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Oilers58c31,086$18,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,913.2648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9189…572fbacked Blues0c29,994$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Oilers57c29,942$17,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,875.0425449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Blues35c25,808$9,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,124.6326849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Oilers58c24,000$13,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,079.9713553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers60c19,150$11,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,595.515949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers57c17,500$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,52532946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues41c15,670$6,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,458.141,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues41c15,469$6,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,341.132,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Blues42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers59c12,454$7,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.1947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Blues41c12,142$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.138247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Blues43c11,065$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75814553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Oilers79c10,267$8,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.8733345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Oilers59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers57c9,333$5,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.091,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blues39c8,819$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.2433243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Oilers60c8,350$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.898852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Oilers58c8,330$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.67162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Blues41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8701,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blues42c6,787$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.752050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Oilers58c6,767$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.1411445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues39c6,500$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues38c6,259$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.361,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Blues1c6,250$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3418520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Blues41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Blues39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3405152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Oilers58c5,937$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.554866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee2…3825backed Oilers60c5,714$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Oilers59c5,680$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.6426955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers57c5,500$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc034…59fbbacked Blues42c5,319$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers58c5,300$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22626058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Blues41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Oilers57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Oilers58c4,060$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.224654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2df…94b9backed Blues40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Blues42c4,000$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6701650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Blues5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005425.9%14 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Oilers61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Oilers58c3,970$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.211,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues42c3,683$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.7760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Blues41c3,561$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.926946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blues41c3,333$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.5310850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blues40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Oilers58c3,000$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Oilers57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blues42c2,660$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Blues41c2,647$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.378134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers60c2,181$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.142,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Oilers59c2,150$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.514848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oilers58c2,114$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.8884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Oilers58c2,007$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.971,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Blues40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Blues42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Blues41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Oilers60c1,951$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.5320552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Oilers58c1,872$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.4120047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Oilers59c1,823$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Oilers58c1,805$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1631148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blues41c1,781$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.8645955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Blues42c1,776$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blues41c1,765$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.6493953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d39…8fdebacked Blues39c1,700$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Oilers58c1,598$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.1661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Blues39c1,586$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0660741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues35c1,531$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers58c1,528$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.5985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…c704backed Oilers61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…1b23backed Blues39c1,496$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7939…9024backed Oilers61c1,496$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb936…da09backed Oilers61c1,496$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.44875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1935…28aebacked Oilers61c1,496$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f8…c4b9backed Blues39c1,496$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91bd…800ebacked Blues39c1,496$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4b…3d00backed Blues39c1,491$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2576…c424backed Oilers61c1,491$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cf…65a4backed Blues39c1,484$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe71c…eac1backed Blues39c1,484$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.761145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d2…f8f9backed Oilers61c1,484$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a19…a759backed Oilers61c1,484$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.761070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ec…279fbacked Oilers61c1,482$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.98887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+68%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad4d…8178backed Blues39c1,482$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…2aa7backed Blues39c1,482$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcde1…552dbacked Oilers61c1,482$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.