NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f99a0470cc6064df0a3b8a1411d97ed3ff4c482db764c45375a8d859e63da4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Oilers | 40c | 6,767$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.19 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 60c | 2,324$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.24 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Blues | 60c | 1,256$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues | 62c | 910.35$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.41 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blues | 60c | 753.75$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blues | 60c | 629$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blues | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Blues | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues | 60c | 450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Blues | 60c | 331.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Oilers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Blues | 60c | 248.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Oilers | 38c | 228.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Blues | 61c | 214.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers | 38c | 188.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Oilers | 38c | 165.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Oilers | 38c | 130.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blues | 61c | 117.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Blues | 62c | 112$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Oilers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Oilers | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Oilers | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Oilers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…e4debacked Oilers | 38c | 26.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Blues | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 46c | 22.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. OilersOilers won
- Blues vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.