TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over58c7,398$4,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,268.5421036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over48c6,767$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.4611445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c5,558$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.81,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c2,973$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.042,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under54c2,150$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.1618547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Under53c1,909$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c1,704$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.8585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c1,400$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2e…48b8backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…28c3backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed9…7bf1backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7692…bf55backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c34…4605backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…9af0backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1473…581cbacked Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a9…ba6fbacked Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1e…5868backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e8…b78cbacked Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…47cfbacked Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de1…1da3backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173f…07d8backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4adc…73b2backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e8…4e05backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e3…81efbacked Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…1638backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…9978backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6c…5983backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd346…a593backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…ad72backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29fb…3ea8backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb729…2848backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36dd…72a2backed Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d1…57aebacked Under53c1,380$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x723d…4fe3backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe273…cf43backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…5519backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7488…5e8dbacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0b…b432backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e2…a29cbacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…96eabacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96fb…039dbacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad3…a8babacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6a…be38backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1762…31f1backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf983…fd45backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…9befbacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d2…b7afbacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1373…c885backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d4…3057backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87b…70a2backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5e04backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6172…eaf9backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99c…37d0backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b7…f3f8backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…707ebacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4672…b122backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83cf…b97bbacked Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3099…dc30backed Over47c1,380$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under35c1,096$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.871,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…7e21backed Over63c639.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0453050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5710646.2%49 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under52c454.5$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.941,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under53c436.17$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under38c397.32$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8415238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3616056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.649346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under52c306.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7118548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c303$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.441,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2312544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c263.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.052,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under35c260$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1699350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under36c250.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.811,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c235.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.62,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdce5…65d7backed Under53c212$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under55c210.6$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7738551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13033735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8119651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over52c160.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5911153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c119$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.682,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under54c111.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.325763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c109.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.824557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Under55c105.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.394949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over46c102.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2311933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c101.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8712943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under53c101.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8921549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under66c89.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.091,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over47c82.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0525435.4%90 W · 164 L-22.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under50c82.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.334949.9%174 W · 175 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under36c68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2415354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc1…8b83backed Under55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.641942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.