TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,596,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,780,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,596,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets41c170,731$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,999.7121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers58c159,919$93,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,567.4751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers59c147,963$87,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,664.731,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets0c142,683$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.621,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers60c112,103$66,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,283.4223257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets0c68,150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.551,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets0c66,115$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets21c53,860$11,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,521.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Cavaliers59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,5003234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets41c50,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,499.8819048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets41c45,000$18,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,45043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets18c42,927$7,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,598.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets7c41,060$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.811,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Cavaliers59c40,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,599.9519751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Cavaliers60c38,403$23,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,361.2510952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets42c35,886$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hornets42c35,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets40c26,500$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Cavaliers59c26,495$15,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,818.7622459.4%133 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets42c26,408$11,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,008.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Cavaliers59c25,000$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,25014358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hornets40c24,950$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,98029245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets41c23,861$9,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,782.861,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers58c23,625$13,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,858.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc034…59fbbacked Cavaliers59c22,527$13,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,235.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Cavaliers59c22,222$13,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,110.9720551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Hornets41c22,150$9,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,081.553959%23 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Cavaliers79c21,172$16,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.3827865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee2…3825backed Hornets41c17,095$7,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,008.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…bac0backed Cavaliers59c16,907$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,931.781070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets41c16,540$6,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,781.628649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Hornets41c15,861$6,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,503.172133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13a…f97fbacked Hornets42c14,946$6,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,277.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7e…6f18backed Hornets41c14,000$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,740250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1526…e65dbacked Cavaliers58c14,000$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets43c13,670$5,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.6736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Hornets7c13,075$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2517646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets40c13,000$5,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141.6646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Hornets42c12,652$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,313.866650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Hornets41c12,250$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.515841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets37c12,171$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.031,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets41c11,594$4,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.3772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Cavaliers59c10,570$6,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Hornets40c10,020$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa827…1adbbacked Hornets43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3002931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Cavaliers58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2003884.2%32 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+59.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hornets41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Cavaliers57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.9713249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers73c9,320$6,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Hornets40c9,269$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets39c9,145$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hornets0c8,939$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.947211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Hornets6c8,614$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7147535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hornets40c8,611$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.378543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Cavaliers59c8,471$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.0616752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hornets1c8,407$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Cavaliers60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.337758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c8,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Cavaliers66c7,651$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.6116641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Hornets20c7,445$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets18c7,188$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.281,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Cavaliers66c7,000$4,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.189852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Hornets41c6,870$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.7912151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Cavaliers57c6,801$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.3914945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Hornets42c6,800$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.8211244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Hornets24c6,690$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.8914537.9%55 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Hornets26c6,375$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.773432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Cavaliers69c6,306$4,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.1214751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets6c6,251$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa1…9303backed Hornets41c6,216$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2d…9ba8backed Cavaliers59c6,059$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Cavaliers59c6,000$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.9831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Hornets42c5,976$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5105119.6%10 W · 41 L-10.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets42c5,753$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.5248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hornets42c5,586$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3467850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Hornets24c5,107$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.3410947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hornets41c5,088$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.0426247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Hornets36c5,062$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.1826444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…a095backed Hornets41c5,012$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Hornets42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10010235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Hornets42c4,921$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets9c4,906$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5280146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hornets20c4,776$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.0361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Cavaliers80c4,619$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.8122458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked Cavaliers61c4,505$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7734365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Hornets39c4,500$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7714134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked Hornets41c4,300$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.983946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers59c4,184$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.371,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb4…bb54backed Hornets4c4,170$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Hornets41c4,090$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.015843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets14c4,078$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Cavaliers76c4,068$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7811251.8%58 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Hornets5c4,036$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Hornets40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Cavaliers59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9924252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hornets41c3,902$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hornets41c3,900$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.761,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets40c3,879$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.641,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.