NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa86b67ab7484051371dc96fd76281174ddfd8650442f6ee85ab6320351766d51

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $171,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $179,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under	50c	41,711$20,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,855.7	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	51c	30,995$15,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,792.92	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under	52c	22,266$11,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,746.02	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+10.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	52c	22,098$11,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,607.04	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	50c	19,133$9,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,477.22	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Under	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.98	38	84.2%32 W · 6 L	+10.8wins	+0.29per pick	56cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	50c	8,352$4,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,203.54	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over	52c	8,214$4,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,271.28	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over	51c	6,967$3,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,553	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	48c	6,766$3,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,281.25	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	6,437$3,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,156.02	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	50c	5,125$2,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…6f04backed Over	48c	4,813$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.38	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over	49c	3,055$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.33	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	50c	2,821$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.5	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	2,255$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.76	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	51c	2,041$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	54c	2,034$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.64	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	48c	1,890$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.18	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Under	50c	1,666$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	1,600$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over	51c	1,520$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-17.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	48c	1,507$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.86	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	53c	1,132$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.08	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	51c	1,071$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over	48c	1,025$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	48c	1,005$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under	49c	999.99$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-14.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under	55c	870.91$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.91	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under	51c	845.57$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.84	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	48c	700$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over	48c	645.83$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	52c	635$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.8	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	45c	622.49$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.12	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	600$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	48c	582$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.36	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over	51c	517.71$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.03	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over	46c	443.48$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…44d0backed Over	49c	381.98$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.17	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over	48c	350$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Under	49c	288$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.88	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Over	50c	250.02$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.01	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	203.15$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.64	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under	49c	200.04$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.07	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c0…0a70backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under	50c	199.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.22	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under	52c	193.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.12	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+6.9wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over	50c	171.6$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.15	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under	51c	167$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.64	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	50c	142.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.41	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	49c	129$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.79	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over	51c	127.45$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	185	36.2%67 W · 118 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under	51c	116.1$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.89	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	49c	109.44$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.63	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Under	55c	108.16$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.16	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5f7…2ce2backed Over	50c	102$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	48c	101$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.48	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over	57c	88.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under	52c	85.16$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.88	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	51c	83.52$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.92	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Under	50c	83.52$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.76	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under	52c	79.57$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	51c	76.92$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over	47c	74.86$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.18	165	49.7%82 W · 83 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over	51c	65.41$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x038d…703cbacked Under	51c	55.27$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under	57c	55.18$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	243	63.8%155 W · 88 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	40c	53.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over	48c	50.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd13c…6170backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Under	49c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.75	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	48c	49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over	49c	47.04$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf30…8cb4backed Over	48c	44.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	53c	41.77$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 15.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event