NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0a3962911840ee5dea426d8a91433e35be43ffc9ce3e5c8a30bd99c3750d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 43,971$21,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,650.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 41,817$21,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,375.37 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 37,450$18,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,563.57 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 33,592$17,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,305.84 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 33,392$17,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,297.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 27,388$13,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,870.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 53c | 23,466$12,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,448.08 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 49c | 21,319$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,872.68 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 53c | 20,000$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.99 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Under | 50c | 19,211$9,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,646.29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 18,411$8,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 47c | 16,658$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.77 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 14,961$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.44 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 11,029$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.71 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 50c | 9,250$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.79 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 5,761$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 5,070$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 4,314$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.69 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 47c | 4,067$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.53 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 3,866$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 3c | 3,284$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 2,671$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.59 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 51c | 2,327$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.02 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,199$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Under | 48c | 2,139$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.96 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.1 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 2,050$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 54c | 2,021$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.54 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.21 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 2,005$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.75 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 67c | 1,939$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.01 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,913$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 49c | 1,900$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.07 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 45c | 1,867$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.67 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…4896backed Under | 48c | 1,865$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e49…b3afbacked Over | 52c | 1,865$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,464$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.71 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 53c | 1,146$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.24 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,117$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.97 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 54c | 893.41$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.44 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 49c | 879$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.82 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 67c | 752$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 750.21$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 644.44$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.44 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 53c | 611.05$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.36 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 50c | 579.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.81 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 572.86$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 53c | 499.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 453.79$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 49c | 439.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 390.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 379.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 364.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 53c | 362.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 337$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 54c | 322$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 300.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 293.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 48c | 288$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 55c | 283.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 53c | 277.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Over | 51c | 263.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b0…9d9fbacked Under | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 53c | 245.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 51c | 230$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 215.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 206$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 53c | 197.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 51c | 194.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 53c | 193.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Under | 62c | 162.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 147.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 21c | 135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 75c | 133.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 121.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 118.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 49c | 114.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.