NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46c663362d1568762cca67cb47f2baf785d54aa6053c4555bc165abd98c7f11

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $312,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $319,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,974 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets	48c	105,013$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,999.68	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers	52c	42,366$22,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,335.57	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets	47c	31,553$14,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,874.47	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	53c	30,875$16,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,635.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.98	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers	53c	19,570$10,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,100.86	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	53c	16,192$8,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,618.07	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers	51c	16,137$8,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,864.29	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers	53c	12,663$6,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,951.55	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	53c	12,149$6,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,709.98	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	47c	10,724$5,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,003.32	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Cavaliers	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,899.99	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	52c	7,530$3,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,614.4	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets	46c	7,465$3,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,434.05	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Cavaliers	52c	7,376$3,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,540.25	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Cavaliers	52c	6,767$3,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,248.15	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Cavaliers	54c	6,296$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,896.3	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2e…05f0backed Hornets	49c	6,066$2,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,972.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.35per pick	49cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Cavaliers	50c	5,847$2,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,923.38	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x207b…ef6fbacked Hornets	49c	5,790$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,837.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hornets	46c	5,765$2,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.9	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Hornets	50c	5,593$2,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,795	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets	49c	5,510$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Cavaliers	51c	5,490$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,690.25	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets	49c	5,368$2,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,630.47	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hornets	48c	5,303$2,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,545.57	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b0…9d9fbacked Hornets	49c	4,510$2,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8283…26dabacked Hornets	49c	4,508$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,209	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hornets	49c	4,390$2,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,151.06	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	53c	4,227$2,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,995.15	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Hornets	49c	4,123$2,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.41	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Cavaliers	51c	4,108$2,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,012.74	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Hornets	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	54c	3,568$1,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.51	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets	46c	3,391$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.77	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Hornets	49c	3,331$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets	47c	3,019$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,407.48	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Cavaliers	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…81aabacked Hornets	50c	2,858$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0539…0529backed Hornets	49c	2,800$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.99	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	53c	2,576$1,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.86	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hornets	50c	2,171$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.31	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Hornets	49c	2,067$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.83	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Hornets	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Hornets	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.91	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Hornets	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.87	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Cavaliers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers	52c	1,999$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.52	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers	51c	1,886$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.14	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Cavaliers	53c	1,726$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.26	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Cavaliers	50c	1,700$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Hornets	48c	1,632$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.61	142	54.9%78 W · 64 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Cavaliers	52c	1,550$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Hornets	48c	1,417$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers	53c	1,415$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.09	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hornets	47c	1,380$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.21	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hornets	47c	1,304$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.05	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Cavaliers	54c	1,259$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.26	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets	48c	1,200$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.99	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x86e1…dcf6backed Cavaliers	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets	47c	1,011$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.65	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers	53c	1,000$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hornets	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Cavaliers	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hornets	47c	827$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.69	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Hornets	47c	823.45$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.02	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers	52c	807.69$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.69	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	52c	744.75$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.48	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Cavaliers	53c	712.2$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.73	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Hornets	49c	700$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c8…2564backed Cavaliers	52c	669.45$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.45	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Cavaliers	54c	666.67$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.67	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Hornets	48c	625.99$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.48	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cavaliers	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Cavaliers	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets	47c	599.98$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.99	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Hornets	46c	416.95$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.26	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Cavaliers	54c	407.93$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.65	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Cavaliers	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Hornets	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hornets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers	53c	400$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	417	42%175 W · 242 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Hornets	50c	380$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Cavaliers	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Cavaliers	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	379	30.6%116 W · 263 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Hornets	47c	361.7$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hornets	47c	358.91$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.69	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Hornets	49c	326.53$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Cavaliers	53c	322$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.85	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets	46c	261$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.06	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Cavaliers	52c	257.17$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.17	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets	48c	250.63$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.3	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Cavaliers	53c	244.2$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers	79c	229.18$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.71	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Cavaliers	52c	226.56$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.75	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Cavaliers	52c	216.52$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.52	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 15.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event