TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c58,741$27,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,614.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c38,346$19,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,859.681,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over56c20,978$11,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,757.9621057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c10,481$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,450.252,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c4,835$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over53c4,619$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.1371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,035$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over57c2,984$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c2,540$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c2,467$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.732,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Over53c2,380$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.675658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under46c1,635$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.492,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under44c1,545$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.4126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c1,348$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.153,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over54c1,278$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over53c1,258$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.4716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over55c1,248$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.6462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under48c1,236$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9517643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,164$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.792,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c1,103$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52011137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c837$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.612,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over53c754.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over9c741.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.951,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3785060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c643$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.931,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over57c598.57$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.730641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over57c475.46$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0118650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over54c433.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23423256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c382.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over53c375.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c357.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16816539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c261.11$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.451,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c255$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under45c217$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.119350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.955141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Under80c190$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3811143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over57c175.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over54c155.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over53c125.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c116.42$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa90…d716backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Under48c104.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.55339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c104.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5647043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Under51c98.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.434548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044250%21 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c97.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c86.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.452,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under48c83.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under47c80.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0915348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over52c72.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.689642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c68.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.232,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over51c60.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c50.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9121948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under47c47.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under47c44.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.624645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83724.3%9 W · 28 L-10.0wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c38.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb708…c9cbbacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0819748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.551,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked Over55c25.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.063565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under48c24.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.896965.2%45 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over57c23.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ee…3a49backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Over53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.