NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Ducks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532ebc0b3ba92cd156e6a261ce702ac8602f429774b1eb1692bed26fb60177ae

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ducksof Kraken, Ducks
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,460,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,489,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,460,650 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken	45c	300,000$135,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134,999.96	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Ducks	55c	293,353$162,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130,630.99	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kraken	0c	243,093$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.09	185	20.5%38 W · 147 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Kraken	44c	136,758$59,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,905.87	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken	45c	99,238$44,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,657.29	485	45.4%220 W · 265 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks	55c	79,003$43,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,431.28	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ducks	55c	50,000$27,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,500	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Ducks	55c	49,700$27,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,365	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks	55c	49,602$27,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,320.81	561	52%292 W · 269 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks	55c	38,403$21,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,281.35	479	51.4%246 W · 233 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken	44c	34,299$15,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,212.88	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Kraken	45c	30,000$13,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,500	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken	44c	27,945$12,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,319.7	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks	55c	26,885$14,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,068.06	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Ducks	56c	20,000$11,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,899.94	329	46.8%154 W · 175 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kraken	44c	14,622$6,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,463.64	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Ducks	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,928.57	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks	55c	8,617$4,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,846.86	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ducks	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+105.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken	45c	6,500$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,925	1,087	45.1%490 W · 597 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks	55c	5,490$3,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,476.01	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken	19c	5,248$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.94	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	139	48.2%67 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Ducks	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Ducks	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.98	275	48.7%134 W · 141 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Ducks	57c	4,970$2,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,137.3	622	49.4%307 W · 315 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken	2c	4,948$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.58	263	44.5%117 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ducks	55c	4,922$2,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.73	939	53.6%503 W · 436 L	+29.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Kraken	45c	4,833$2,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,175	168	43.5%73 W · 95 L	-14.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken	43c	4,343$1,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881	603	37.5%226 W · 377 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ducks	56c	4,291$2,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,888.04	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks	56c	4,000$2,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770	684	49.9%341 W · 343 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Ducks	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Ducks	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a3…0820backed Ducks	58c	2,900$1,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fed…d271backed Kraken	42c	2,900$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Kraken	44c	2,841$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ffb…af53backed Ducks	58c	2,758$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.36	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…6fbfbacked Kraken	42c	2,758$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.36	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…79b9backed Kraken	42c	2,744$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.48	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c7…0a94backed Ducks	58c	2,744$1,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.48	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	56cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3e…000bbacked Kraken	42c	2,706$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.52	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…3b59backed Ducks	58c	2,706$1,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.52	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+82%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b4d…2646backed Ducks	58c	2,692$1,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.64	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+25%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c4…188bbacked Kraken	42c	2,692$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.64	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Ducks	58c	2,687$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.61	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Ducks	56c	2,679$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.57	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0f…12c7backed Ducks	58c	2,675$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+64%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d11…9a52backed Kraken	42c	2,675$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x367d…e4bcbacked Ducks	58c	2,650$1,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…2399backed Kraken	42c	2,650$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	52cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kraken	1c	2,619$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	250	4.8%12 W · 238 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+159.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ducks	56c	2,600$1,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.04	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee0…37b4backed Kraken	42c	2,592$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.64	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aea…b0b5backed Ducks	58c	2,592$1,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…eb6abacked Ducks	58c	2,555$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.1	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x379b…eac6backed Kraken	42c	2,555$1,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92ee…d9debacked Ducks	58c	2,514$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.88	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed6f…3ce0backed Kraken	42c	2,514$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.88	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb3…50eebacked Ducks	58c	2,454$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.68	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0820…eda7backed Kraken	42c	2,454$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.68	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kraken	23c	2,392$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.26	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…3c32backed Kraken	42c	2,371$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.82	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3927…2903backed Ducks	58c	2,371$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.82	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.31per pick	55cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken	44c	2,343$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.01	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Ducks	57c	2,304$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.67	332	43.7%145 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffb…109abacked Kraken	42c	2,303$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.26	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd767…0a93backed Ducks	58c	2,303$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.26	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f13…5d02backed Kraken	42c	2,299$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.58	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf89b…58c4backed Ducks	58c	2,299$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.58	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.7wins	+0.33per pick	54cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1031…63a6backed Kraken	42c	2,248$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.16	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	52cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc19a…e06bbacked Ducks	58c	2,248$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.16	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.6wins	+0.37per pick	49cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kraken	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	281	52%146 W · 135 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Ducks	56c	2,173$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fd…2c9bbacked Kraken	42c	2,169$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e8…0f14backed Ducks	58c	2,169$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.98	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca50…a913backed Ducks	58c	2,156$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.52	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…620abacked Kraken	42c	2,156$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b2…f0c6backed Kraken	42c	2,141$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.22	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd3…d043backed Ducks	58c	2,141$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.22	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4f…d59bbacked Ducks	58c	2,127$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.34	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab10…a0e5backed Kraken	42c	2,127$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.34	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	51cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48d1…5887backed Kraken	42c	2,115$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00d…b17cbacked Ducks	58c	2,115$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.3	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a3…04d6backed Ducks	58c	2,095$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.9	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1327…2f57backed Kraken	42c	2,095$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken	28c	2,054$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.22	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7845…a314backed Ducks	58c	2,044$1,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.48	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9a…6fb3backed Kraken	42c	2,044$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.48	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcce…bde2backed Ducks	58c	2,018$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.56	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf75…4e93backed Kraken	42c	2,018$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Ducks	58c	2,018$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.37	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c5…e98cbacked Ducks	58c	2,015$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x51fc…4fcbbacked Kraken	42c	2,015$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Ducks	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.51	400	49.3%197 W · 203 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0281…26f8backed Kraken	1c	2,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Kraken	45c	2,000$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.98	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdb…eecebacked Kraken	42c	1,971$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe718…d756backed Ducks	58c	1,971$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.82	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kraken vs. Ducksthis page
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kraken vs. Ducks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event