NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7f1459ab6735cd634789f7163a1a981e4476ccbb0d39355066145fe0ce217a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $726,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $728,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 493,754$256,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,142.38 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 327,868$157,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,376.77 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Over | 48c | 220,000$105,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 52c | 130,000$67,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,437.67 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 26,281$12,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,664.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 51c | 21,918$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,682.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 15,150$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 12,495$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.8 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 11,302$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.02 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 50c | 9,288$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.45 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 48c | 8,991$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.62 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 51c | 7,853$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.22 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 5,017$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 4,188$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.1 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 4,017$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.39 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 2,263$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.75 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 1,809$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 1,737$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.5 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,723$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.27 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 1,536$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.75 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 16c | 1,484$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 1,248$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.85 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 985.64$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 49c | 599.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 541.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 53c | 474.61$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 430.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 387.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 50c | 364$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 321.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 288.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Under | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 48c | 156.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 49c | 106.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Under | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 88.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…958ebacked Under | 54c | 74.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Over | 50c | 72.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 39c | 61.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 58.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 50c | 53.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 57c | 51.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Over | 50c | 50.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…2794backed Over | 49c | 45.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Over | 49c | 43.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Under | 53c | 31.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 27.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 49c | 26.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 51c | 23.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 50c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Over | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. DucksDucks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.