TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Avalanche, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$578,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,028 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Avalanche63c103,178$65,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,0002564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jets37c80,973$29,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,012.9651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Jets37c59,986$22,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,791.3611052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets38c55,798$20,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,802.491,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Avalanche63c35,480$22,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,343.5136648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche63c32,051$20,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,125.461,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jets38c30,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,599.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jets38c27,004$10,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,742.448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche63c17,726$11,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,080.1561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Avalanche62c13,440$8,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,332.84351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Avalanche63c13,310$8,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3854551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche46c12,590$5,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,737.8327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche62c11,217$6,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,954.3740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Avalanche52c10,961$5,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.0214837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Jets37c10,710$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,747.2514954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche62c9,345$5,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,793.751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets38c9,211$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.5350049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets53c8,725$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.971,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets37c8,595$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,446.81,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets78c7,701$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.642,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets74c7,352$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.4385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche63c7,349$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,623.0686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche63c6,348$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99914654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche62c6,225$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.391,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Avalanche63c6,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,76030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Avalanche41c5,938$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.7112838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1d…3b8fbacked Avalanche13c5,723$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche62c5,400$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.9666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Jets37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche62c5,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jets37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb3…5ceabacked Avalanche63c4,961$3,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Avalanche62c4,839$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets70c4,666$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.5589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets38c4,444$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.4989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Jets47c4,196$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.8830259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x73fc…c153backed Avalanche63c4,101$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche62c3,815$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.5861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Avalanche37c3,788$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.7540152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets37c3,482$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.371,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche18c3,384$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9439344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche62c3,347$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Jets37c3,333$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.7910850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Avalanche8c3,333$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.534912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche41c3,246$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.912,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche42c3,240$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.721,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…8270backed Avalanche62c3,225$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9978…7132backed Jets38c3,202$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Avalanche2c3,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.536147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche62c2,742$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets38c2,550$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.9783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Jets38c2,509$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.033554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets38c2,487$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.161,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche62c2,465$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.2925555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche62c2,144$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.3947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets73c1,962$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.293,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jets37c1,800$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.6791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche63c1,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Avalanche63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Avalanche58c1,560$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets49c1,506$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.0795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Avalanche62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche63c1,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Jets38c1,326$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.123435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5622…15d8backed Jets38c1,286$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Avalanche36c1,284$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5234538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Avalanche34c1,228$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3918344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Avalanche5c1,220$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25850%29 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jets38c1,173$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.6852946.9%248 W · 281 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Avalanche62c1,129$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche62c1,111$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Jets39c1,092$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.5233447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets38c1,071$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.7623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Avalanche36c1,035$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.517450%37 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Avalanche63c1,032$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Jets37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets38c1,000$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Avalanche1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Avalanche64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Avalanche63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Avalanche39c995$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9716447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc86…5897backed Jets38c993$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.661361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd88e…a8c6backed Jets40c990$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Jets38c990$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.82560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e7a…a351backed Jets38c980.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche62c976.21$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…9ef0backed Jets38c957$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Avalanche62c946.77$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58724952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche34c937$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8227739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Avalanche62c905.16$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.515646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633a…8388backed Jets38c902$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Jets38c847.96$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0413336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche62c847$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41b…12bcbacked Avalanche63c812$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Jets37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.815658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.