TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6de…c7eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$62.18
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.69
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.43
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$66.41
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$55.75
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.89
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.83
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$29.23
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.45
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$59.43
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$82.23
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$75.87
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$174.56
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$132.02
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$26.08
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+121.3%+$55.93
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.33
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118.06
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$100.04
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$77.59
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$73.17
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$95.24
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$74.06
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$126.35
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$113.32
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.65
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$92.9
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$74.93
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.48
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$89.47
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$92.83
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.43
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.11
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.35
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.84
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$59.45
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$56.75
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$46.78
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$54.47
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$64.41
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$86.16
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.56
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62.37
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.83
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$116.48
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$239.61
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$329.58
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$341
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$93.17
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$272.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$205.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$74.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$120.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$227.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.