NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde04f596d9f71bb652e229dc6211ecdee332804b9816ad22d57581089a09faf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 119,686$68,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,064.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 96,725$51,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,771 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Canucks | 48c | 47,120$22,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,617.56 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Canucks | 43c | 37,066$15,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,931.68 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Canucks | 43c | 36,482$15,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,687.14 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Canucks | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Canucks | 48c | 32,258$15,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,624.79 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 27,157$15,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,414.13 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 25,481$12,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,668.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 24,598$14,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.14 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canucks | 43c | 21,919$9,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,370.84 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks | 39c | 21,605$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.57 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canucks | 42c | 20,744$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.97 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Canucks | 42c | 18,545$7,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,879.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…eee7backed Canucks | 2c | 17,527$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 16,000$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canucks | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canucks | 42c | 12,493$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Canucks | 42c | 11,074$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.71 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 10,448$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.54 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks | 42c | 10,022$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Canucks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Canucks | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 30c | 9,677$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.89 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Canucks | 47c | 9,217$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.76 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 8,171$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.52 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canucks | 41c | 8,154$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.42 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 8,138$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.93 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks | 42c | 6,500$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.94 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 6,396$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.5 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canucks | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 5,841$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.22 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 5,503$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.93 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 42c | 4,890$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Canucks | 43c | 3,395$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canucks | 42c | 2,944$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.67 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 42c | 2,864$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 2,737$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canucks | 42c | 2,555$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.1 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,317$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.24 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,209$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.82 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,200$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…dc4abacked Canucks | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canucks | 43c | 2,070$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,063$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.86 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks | 52c | 2,050$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.9 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,010$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.24 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Canucks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Canucks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 44c | 1,947$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Canucks | 43c | 1,752$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.31 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,665$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Canucks | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canucks | 54c | 1,563$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.2 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,510$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.26 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,333$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.27 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Canucks | 62c | 1,314$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.64 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Canucks | 1c | 1,236$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,235$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.35 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Canucks | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Canucks | 61c | 1,175$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.83 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Canucks | 41c | 1,150$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…039abacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,129$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canucks | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,086$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,033$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Canucks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…43d8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 979$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 897.06$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.06 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 869.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Canucks | 42c | 846$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Canucks | 48c | 804.81$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 800$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.08 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…8414backed Canucks | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…1efebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Canucks | 78c | 777$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…d6d1backed Canucks | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 41c | 749.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…0c44backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 740$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Canucks | 42c | 726.16$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 66c | 711.66$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…51c0backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 710$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1e50backed Canucks | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Canucks | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 671.81$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Canucks | 49c | 616.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 613.49$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 575$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.34 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Canucks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Canucksthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.