TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Islanders, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,428,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,459,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,428,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Islanders46c502,472$232,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,636.9610840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Jets55c483,152$263,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,180.2120354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets54c237,141$128,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,904.1456152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders23c202,464$46,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,002.5138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Jets53c160,158$84,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,274.3610349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders46c120,000$55,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,20067051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders45c96,732$43,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,529.51,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Islanders45c58,372$26,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,351.2622443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,4009548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jets54c37,776$20,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,376.9421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jets54c29,000$15,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,34048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Islanders45c18,888$8,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,577.3713363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders45c14,688$6,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,609.792,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders46c14,259$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,582.611,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders46c13,631$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,270.2652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Islanders45c12,222$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5008247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Jets54c12,049$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,542.4711955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jets54c11,043$5,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,079.7833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets54c10,741$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.7450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets53c9,875$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,594.541,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Islanders47c9,000$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1905152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Jets73c8,891$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.7532744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders30c8,800$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.1838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders45c8,780$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.441,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jets54c8,566$4,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.3661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Islanders47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,76014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders47c7,030$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,29361748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets53c6,541$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.1425449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Islanders45c5,966$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.76653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets77c5,878$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.7185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Islanders45c5,237$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.7130944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Islanders8c4,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9533345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets54c4,984$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.6479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets55c4,951$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.991,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jets55c4,884$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Islanders47c4,586$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.126157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Islanders1c4,500$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56031.7%19 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Jets55c4,470$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.864841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets54c4,180$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Islanders45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Islanders46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Jets53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders33c3,703$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.4895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Islanders47c3,506$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.753647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets78c2,940$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.931,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Jets77c2,786$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.5157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jets54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jets54c2,524$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.1626955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders22c2,475$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.971,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders45c2,440$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.141,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Islanders1c2,350$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Islanders45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets54c2,170$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Islanders46c2,156$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Islanders23c2,095$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.81,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets55c2,016$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.1489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders46c2,006$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.861,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d2…952ebacked Islanders9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Islanders46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Islanders46c1,970$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2617057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Islanders27c1,904$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.182,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders45c1,888$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.61,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets54c1,870$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed Jets69c1,815$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.819668.8%66 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets53c1,688$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jets51c1,653$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets53c1,516$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.5764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders47c1,450$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac8…431fbacked Jets55c1,339$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets55c1,293$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.0762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Islanders11c1,241$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.972722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Islanders44c1,239$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5452642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Jets55c1,233$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.855154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Islanders47c1,183$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55632151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Islanders45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.57138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets52c1,097$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.3883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets72c1,097$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Islanders46c1,093$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.1549045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Islanders22c1,023$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Islanders45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Islanders46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Islanders47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Jets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Islanders47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4708938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Islanders46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Islanders46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Jets55c977.08$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6911947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Islanders44c972.86$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0642847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets76c922.86$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Islanders45c911.93$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3739047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders46c908.45$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.145751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.