TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Jets: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Under55c66,350$36,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,612.232458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under52c33,683$17,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,502.0367051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c15,170$7,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,142.471,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c15,000$6,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over45c8,243$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.5256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Over46c8,215$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,436.3113449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c8,212$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.822,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over49c7,611$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,881.8614553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c5,929$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.112,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c3,998$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.992,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over47c3,984$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.6164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4910746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under55c3,086$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c2,690$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.5928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c2,400$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c1,969$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.681,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c1,879$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.5783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c1,724$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.591,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c1,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85032650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over47c1,298$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.873735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Over49c1,280$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.084346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over47c1,001$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6330855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over49c979.59$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5910643.4%46 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over41c969.78$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.172,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c900.02$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.311,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Over45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38553337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c698.25$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under55c663.48$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.243855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c471.52$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3460741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under54c462$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4811435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5316056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1653050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2123036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over45c399.82$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c285$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Over46c256.65$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.049547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c233.5$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0912548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under52c224.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6791945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7712756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c211.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.342,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3330447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1075054%27 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over50c178$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Under55c131.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Over47c127.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.854334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3830951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1715257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1710864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07bd…5d79backed Over47c102$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.062445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5722443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5312545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0104…530ebacked Under54c99.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over49c88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6547944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed Under55c86.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.311020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over47c84.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5823754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over46c83.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.214247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4842…b2f4backed Over41c77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.431844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Over47c56.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.712661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c49.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5845151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked Over47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.914445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…fe96backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6110429.8%31 W · 73 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Over48c36.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.055949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1812943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over47c33.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8416447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over51c32.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.674117.1%7 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9127952%145 W · 134 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3945…7077backed Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.918355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c31.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.278651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…8e54backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Under54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.755052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over46c23.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.813554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f7…c7fabacked Over49c23.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+48.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.