NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7f2786bee8df18e8186f5f8ce1164d36b62ba8ccc2b245837b142a785c4aa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Jets, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Jets | 30c | 1,098$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.26 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 71c | 1,000$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.79 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets | 30c | 743.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets | 30c | 602.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 68c | 572$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Islanders | 69c | 540$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Jets | 13c | 489.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Jets | 12c | 384.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jets | 31c | 340$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Islanders | 69c | 340$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jets | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Islanders | 69c | 209.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Jets | 31c | 127.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Islanders | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Islanders | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Jets | 32c | 57.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Islanders | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Islanders | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Islanders | 70c | 46.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Jets | 32c | 42.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Islanders | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Islanders vs. JetsJets won
- Islanders vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.