TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Suns52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.9917554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns51c8,492$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Suns51c7,305$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.324052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x867c…4e27backed Magic50c5,640$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82060%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Suns52c5,490$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.3721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic51c5,331$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Magic49c4,198$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.1142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Magic48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Magic49c2,796$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37019445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Magic49c2,718$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns46c2,672$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.272,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns52c2,406$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Magic50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked Suns50c2,091$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic49c1,842$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Magic47c1,703$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.4117550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Magic50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Magic50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Magic46c1,333$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.2832150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Suns49c1,204$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.8145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic50c1,134$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic50c1,118$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.913,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed Magic50c1,101$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6db…fcfcbacked Suns50c1,099$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns51c928.55$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic50c895.52$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic49c800$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Suns44c551.96$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7417233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ba…f2c5backed Magic50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6646…0925backed Suns50c491$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19629652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns46c359.84$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic50c314$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Magic51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Suns50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504420.5%9 W · 35 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Magic43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Magic52c288.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.771,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Magic47c273.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4815147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Suns57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Magic46c260.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Magic48c241.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Suns51c213.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6810251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns51c202.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Suns56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8825559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Magic50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Suns50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Magic50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Magic45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Magic43c195.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.331,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Suns54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Suns55c182.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.681,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Magic49c175.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7916339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns50c163.44$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Magic48c163.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.397251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8432…3163backed Magic49c162.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.853132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6de…c7ebbacked Suns53c161.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.873158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Magic54c150.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Magic50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Magic48c133.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2821948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Magic47c129.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6118749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Suns54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.510348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns51c118.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.743,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d1…abcdbacked Magic51c117.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Suns48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1735942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Magic47c102.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.962,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns51c100.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.013,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Suns51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Suns56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Suns51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0425753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Magic33c91.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c62…a0bdbacked Magic53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns55c80.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.252,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Magic51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6838252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Magic50c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Magic53c64.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Magic50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Suns50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns52c59.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.571,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Magic52c57.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9614643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Magic47c51.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2153349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c2f…5f91backed Magic51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Magic50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Suns50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic50c49.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Suns53c49.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Magic45c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5734641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Magic47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5353839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Magic48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic44c41.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Magic45c41.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.445653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Magic48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Magic50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…2aa9backed Suns50c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x709f…96ecbacked Magic51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Magic46c38.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.571,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…0b3fbacked Suns50c35.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.661172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa3…c4a0backed Suns50c33.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Magic48c33.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47da…ce18backed Magic51c32.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaad…60f8backed Magic51c32.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.