NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98a26c325a69733c080bd422a7437bce3851187feff05ec6bd0e1fba5799686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Suns | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.99 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 51c | 8,492$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Suns | 51c | 7,305$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…4e27backed Magic | 50c | 5,640$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Suns | 52c | 5,490$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.37 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 51c | 5,331$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Magic | 49c | 4,198$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.11 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Magic | 49c | 2,796$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 46c | 2,672$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 52c | 2,406$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.89 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…3a8ebacked Magic | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…32cfbacked Suns | 50c | 2,091$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 49c | 1,842$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Magic | 47c | 1,703$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.41 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Magic | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Magic | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Magic | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.28 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.81 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 1,134$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 50c | 1,118$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…6c61backed Magic | 50c | 1,101$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked Suns | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 51c | 928.55$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic | 50c | 895.52$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.76 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic | 49c | 800$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.01 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Suns | 44c | 551.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…f2c5backed Magic | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0925backed Suns | 50c | 491$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 46c | 359.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic | 50c | 314$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Magic | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Suns | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Magic | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 52c | 288.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Magic | 47c | 273.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Suns | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Magic | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 48c | 241.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Suns | 51c | 213.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 51c | 202.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Suns | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Magic | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 43c | 195.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 55c | 182.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Magic | 49c | 175.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 50c | 163.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Magic | 48c | 163.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…3163backed Magic | 49c | 162.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…c7ebbacked Suns | 53c | 161.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Magic | 54c | 150.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Magic | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Magic | 48c | 133.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Magic | 47c | 129.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Suns | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 51c | 118.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…abcdbacked Magic | 51c | 117.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Suns | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 51c | 100.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Suns | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Magic | 33c | 91.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…a0bdbacked Magic | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 55c | 80.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Magic | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Magic | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Magic | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Suns | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns | 52c | 59.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Magic | 52c | 57.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Magic | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…5f91backed Magic | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Magic | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Suns | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 50c | 49.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Suns | 53c | 49.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Magic | 45c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Magic | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Magic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 44c | 41.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Magic | 45c | 41.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Magic | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…2aa9backed Suns | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…96ecbacked Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Magic | 46c | 38.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…0b3fbacked Suns | 50c | 35.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…c4a0backed Suns | 50c | 33.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Magic | 48c | 33.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…ce18backed Magic | 51c | 32.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…60f8backed Magic | 51c | 32.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Magic won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. SunsSuns won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.