NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ac27377c0d791f2f3a1f44ce83cd60cfc700f904085f352d9df5d5f48dd646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 14,416$7,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 44c | 13,348$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,474.6 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 8,245$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.64 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 2,293$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 45c | 1,327$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.85 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 27c | 1,263$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.77 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.23 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 64c | 780.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 745$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 52c | 702$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 702$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 52c | 623.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Over | 68c | 498.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 38c | 493.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 57c | 466.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 27c | 380$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 23c | 364.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 10c | 272$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 55c | 268$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 258.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 34c | 252.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 80c | 242.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 65c | 228.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 38c | 226.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 211.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 174.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 169.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 152.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed Over | 41c | 116.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 106.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf197…6eb9backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 57c | 87.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Under | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 58.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 31c | 55.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 46c | 54.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 51.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…0a06backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 38c | 43.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 35c | 41.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 35c | 41.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 45c | 37.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 66c | 37.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…16aebacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 34.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Over | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c6dabacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 56c | 26.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 56c | 24.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Magic won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. SunsSuns won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.