NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd9ac7ede730e47689f4e80aec07c582786fd642cc92eee34945f5286b66962

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $197,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $242,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,820 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,399.95	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under	51c	32,109$16,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,375.82	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	51c	26,705$13,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,487.06	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over	49c	22,549$11,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,499.98	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	51c	19,958$10,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,099.35	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	50c	16,560$8,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,279.9	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	11,585$5,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,953.35	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	51c	11,382$5,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,805	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	5,660$2,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,830.27	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	51c	5,294$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.99	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	52c	4,757$2,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,473.24	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over	49c	4,181$2,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,132.2	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	3,211$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,587.09	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over	49c	2,958$1,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.41	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under	51c	2,951$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.21	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under	51c	2,904$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.04	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	49c	2,404$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,226.04	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	2,068$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075.14	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	52c	1,563$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	50c	1,501$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.72	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	1,479$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.82	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	1,397$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.26	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under	52c	962$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.24	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	2c	875$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.25	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	48c	785.1$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.25	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	51c	735.29$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.29	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	48c	622$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.56	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under	52c	496.1$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.97	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	49c	482.94$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.32	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over	50c	336.95$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.58	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Under	52c	326.83$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.95	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	255.04$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.17	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Over	80c	243.42$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over	49c	210$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.1	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Over	49c	184.6$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.6	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	51c	175.54$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.04	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Over	50c	131.58$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.07	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under	52c	96.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Under	52c	91.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	221	48%106 W · 115 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	49c	81.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x281a…7c48backed Under	52c	78.52$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.83	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x988a…9e6fbacked Under	52c	77.92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec5…9339backed Over	48c	72.92$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.92	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under	52c	71.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under	52c	67.1$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.89	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Under	52c	64.75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	76	50%38 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under	52c	62.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under	51c	59.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b92…c436backed Under	52c	50.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under	52c	49.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	51c	49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca32…47f0backed Under	52c	48.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Under	52c	46.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b7…e0e4backed Under	52c	41.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-7.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over	47c	40.64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	346	41%142 W · 204 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b96…641bbacked Under	52c	38.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Under	52c	36.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	51c	34.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6909…8edbbacked Under	52c	33.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.58	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over	40c	31.67$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.14	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under	52c	30.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	103	50.5%52 W · 51 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	49c	28.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over	50c	25.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over	50c	23.09$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.64	180	60.6%109 W · 71 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over	48c	21.85$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	390	47.7%186 W · 204 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e20…3b66backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5this page
1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Magic won
Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5No won
Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Magic vs. SunsSuns won
Magic vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
Spread: Suns (-3.5)Magic won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event