TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$696,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$672,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals56c49,552$27,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,849.3277053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins44c40,000$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,40086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed Washington Nationals0c34,983$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9811228.6%32 W · 80 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins40c32,833$13,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,558.832,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Miami Marlins43c27,500$11,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,674.8314248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins50c23,873$11,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,887.4295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c92…4e7cbacked Washington Nationals70c22,006$15,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,404.54757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals53c21,776$11,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,451.364,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf568…9e93backed Washington Nationals58c20,155$11,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,69040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.8460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Miami Marlins42c17,187$7,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,968.5826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins51c13,515$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,654.848,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals47c13,162$6,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,142.551,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals58c12,613$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.51,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals27c12,182$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.0285645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins42c11,904$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.21,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins28c11,220$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,098.6811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Washington Nationals32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5607042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins43c7,100$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,04717853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins36c7,004$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,491.7214252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins43c6,754$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85027452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals57c6,748$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.741,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Washington Nationals57c6,140$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Washington Nationals58c6,034$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50013045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Washington Nationals58c5,435$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.339035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Miami Marlins42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9007349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals0c4,900$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins42c4,760$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.781,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins43c4,757$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.251,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins42c4,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6105,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc233…0561backed Washington Nationals57c4,386$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4824…0be2backed Washington Nationals53c3,942$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals65c3,846$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x526e…ce46backed Washington Nationals53c3,677$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins55c3,297$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.8831958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals61c3,287$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Nationals77c3,211$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.0946239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d01…7763backed Washington Nationals21c3,143$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.371942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Washington Nationals57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9419252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Washington Nationals77c2,917$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.3114860.1%89 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins71c2,652$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.292,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Washington Nationals58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4507451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Washington Nationals71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7755070%35 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins45c2,214$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.075,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Washington Nationals2c2,052$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.335642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Washington Nationals47c2,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Washington Nationals57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1407050%35 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins43c2,000$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.636,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins34c1,922$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.011,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins48c1,844$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.254,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…1f1bbacked Miami Marlins43c1,800$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Washington Nationals57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025247.6%120 W · 132 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d24…b6ddbacked Washington Nationals58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins43c1,674$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.9792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4c…fc89backed Washington Nationals57c1,667$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95029843.6%130 W · 168 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals32c1,632$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.49,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Washington Nationals57c1,600$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.996645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Washington Nationals57c1,591$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.636349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Miami Marlins42c1,525$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.517452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9844451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Washington Nationals38c1,490$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.821146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Washington Nationals58c1,476$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.27950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins30c1,428$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.65,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins44c1,403$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.432,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals57c1,373$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.611,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins64c1,364$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.321,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals56c1,354$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.2469453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins52c1,335$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.228,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins49c1,325$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins57c1,296$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.32,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Miami Marlins78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Miami Marlins36c1,233$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Miami Marlins74c1,230$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.731478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins62c1,224$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9691252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins40c1,217$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.9910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals57c1,174$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66929449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Miami Marlins49c1,095$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4553261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals41c1,093$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.258,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Washington Nationals30c1,086$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2227450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Miami Marlins74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.081662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins34c1,040$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Washington Nationals56c1,006$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.361855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Miami Marlins30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins43c999.99$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.0989053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Miami Marlins43c999.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9810846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins43c929.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.081,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Miami Marlins73c913.19$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Miami Marlins42c902.53$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.6224150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Washington Nationals34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals58c862$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9620455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Miami Marlins20c835.51$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.415538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals37c814.87$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.792,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington Nationals57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45654048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Washington Nationals38c776.84$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.244058.9%259 W · 181 L+29.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4d…3b60backed Washington Nationals57c750$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins51c719.69$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6520648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.