MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28705227f3f9bc943d2aa5322d5f87f36c40490255aa406d678614aeaf2c6f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $696,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 49,552$27,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,849.32 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 34,983$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 32,833$13,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,558.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 27,500$11,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,674.83 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 23,873$11,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,887.42 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 22,006$15,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,404.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 21,776$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,451.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…9e93backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 20,155$11,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,690 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.84 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 17,187$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,968.58 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 13,515$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,654.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 13,162$6,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.55 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 12,613$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 12,182$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.02 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 11,904$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 11,220$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 7,100$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 7,004$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.72 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 6,754$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 6,748$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 6,034$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 5,435$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.33 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 4,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 4,760$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 4,757$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.25 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 3,942$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ce46backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 3,677$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,297$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.88 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 3,287$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 3,211$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.09 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…7763backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 3,143$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.94 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 2,917$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.31 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 2,652$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,214$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 2,052$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,000$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,922$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.01 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,844$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.25 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…1f1bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,674$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.97 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,667$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,632$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,591$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.63 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,525$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.5 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.98 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,490$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.8 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,476$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.2 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,428$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,403$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.43 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,373$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.61 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,364$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.32 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,354$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.24 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,335$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,325$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,296$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.3 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,233$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,230$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.73 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,224$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.96 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,217$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,174$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,095$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.45 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,093$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 1,086$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,040$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,006$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 999.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.09 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 929.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.08 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 913.19$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 902.53$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.62 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 862$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 835.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.41 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 814.87$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 776.84$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…3b60backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 719.69$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.65 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.