TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc306…5f02backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c23…ed23backed Under55c8,255$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.563966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c6,314$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.684,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,077$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.528,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c3,385$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c2,921$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.6124150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253013.3%4 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over55c2,351$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.8991252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under50c2,267$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.338247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over59c2,244$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.3751756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c2,100$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.7211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004918.4%9 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+131%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab0…7147backed Over53c1,901$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.942035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.831,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,348$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.535,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over47c1,348$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c1,293$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.421,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c1,088$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.663,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c1,066$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.6692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7868053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c991$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.231,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Under2c692$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.754247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c638.25$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.258,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.244946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c569.65$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.912,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c559.15$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.826,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c535.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c508.06$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over49c503.78$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9328154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25525249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26521653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under52c395.4$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6137052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Under49c292.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.124742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c284.6$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.335,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Under57c272.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.317343.8%32 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over45c223.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.982,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over64c213.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.12,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c213.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.376,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8226860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Under51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9620848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c190.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c189.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.782,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c173.77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.575,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c167.08$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.652,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over47c157.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7861948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.82,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under52c135.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9814057.9%81 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over51c134.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8139553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under19c123.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.956857.4%39 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Under52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under38c103.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.933,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over43c102$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.652,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over56c93.58$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.784,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over50c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over47c80.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.241,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f4…3adfbacked Under51c75.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under37c68.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4426854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over43c58.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over45c55.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.916,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Under53c55.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.26657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae40…9edabacked Under52c53.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.922250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf88…f6b5backed Over40c51.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.132133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over51c51.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0431258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0262554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.991,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over60c49.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.771,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under53c47.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2830454.3%165 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1255643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under56c45.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3426752.8%141 W · 126 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under56c45.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2818651.1%95 W · 91 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under56c45.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2823854.2%129 W · 109 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under56c45.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2819855.1%109 W · 89 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over62c39.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9873949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Under65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513263.6%84 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over48c36.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…b5a8backed Under53c35.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.043447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under44c35.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.688046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under52c35.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.092,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.919152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe604…dc02backed Under53c33.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.811526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3397050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over53c31.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.966056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.855367.9%36 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over45c26.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over46c24.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over48c24.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5759749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under45c24.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.813046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c22.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over49c21.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0429255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.623750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.