MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a018bcf36eeb0ad993e6ae383bee8b11269d2bb76e9fcec0e2e83dc355e6cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc306…5f02backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Under | 55c | 8,255$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 6,314$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 5,077$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 3,385$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 2,921$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.61 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 55c | 2,351$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.89 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 50c | 2,267$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.33 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 59c | 2,244$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.37 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 2,100$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Over | 53c | 1,901$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,348$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 47c | 1,348$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.39 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 1,293$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 1,066$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 991$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Under | 2c | 692$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 638.25$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 569.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 559.15$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 535.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 508.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 49c | 503.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 52c | 395.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Under | 49c | 292.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 284.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 57c | 272.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 45c | 223.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 64c | 213.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 213.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 190.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 189.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…5a65backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 173.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 167.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 47c | 157.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 52c | 135.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 51c | 134.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 19c | 123.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 38c | 103.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 43c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 93.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 47c | 80.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…3adfbacked Under | 51c | 75.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 37c | 68.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 43c | 58.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 55.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 53c | 55.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Under | 52c | 53.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…f6b5backed Over | 40c | 51.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 51c | 51.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 60c | 49.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 53c | 47.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 56c | 45.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 56c | 45.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 56c | 45.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 56c | 45.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 62c | 39.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 48c | 36.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b5a8backed Under | 53c | 35.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 44c | 35.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 35.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…dc02backed Under | 53c | 33.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 53c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 45c | 26.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 46c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under | 45c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 49c | 21.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.