TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3679…b5a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT7342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardybacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Droguet vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.33
Livesport Prague Open: Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickovabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$19.94
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Set Handicap: Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Torres (+1.5)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.87
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.11
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.95
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Athens Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Set Handicap: Molcan (-1.5) vs Dzumhur (+1.5)backed Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
ITF Dallas: Alina Shcherbinina vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinovabacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
ITF Louisville: Aleksa Ciric vs Millen Hurrionbacked Aleksa Ciric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.62
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.97
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.87
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.02
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shane Drohan: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$45.75
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.85
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.02
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.56
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.85
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.91
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.02
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.68
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.17
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.83
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.32
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.