Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Torres (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c81ebc6a5b7b93382b428003704c8b638f204c0a8141f857b70fa692bfbc05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torresof Basilashvili, Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x698b…4426backed Torres | 49c | 3,565$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.06 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…e017backed Basilashvili | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Basilashvili | 50c | 1,556$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.06 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Basilashvili | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Torres | 50c | 1,250$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Torres | 52c | 981.75$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Basilashvili | 48c | 580.77$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Basilashvili | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Basilashvili | 48c | 270.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Basilashvili | 48c | 262.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Torres | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Torres | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Torres | 52c | 194.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Torres | 47c | 130.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Basilashvili | 48c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Torres | 46c | 112.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Basilashvili | 49c | 105.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Torres | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Basilashvili | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Basilashvili | 60c | 98.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Torres | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Basilashvili | 48c | 72.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Torres | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Basilashvili | 16c | 63.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Torres | 45c | 55.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Basilashvili | 49c | 50.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Torres | 31c | 44.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Basilashvili | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Torres | 46c | 41.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Basilashvili | 59c | 40.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b5a8backed Torres | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Torres | 52c | 37.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Basilashvili | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…c9e2backed Torres | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Basilashvili | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Torres | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Basilashvili | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Basilashvili | 54c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Torres (+1.5)this page
- Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz BasilashviliTiago Torres won
- Set 1 Winner: Torres vs BasilashviliTorres won
- Set 2 Winner: Torres vs BasilashviliTorres won
- Tiago Torres vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Torres vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.