MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af44f801a195bc1032b0adb1b8dc1c22d7d86cf90e656976bad1fc56473e3ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 57c | 162,773$92,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,780.6 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 43c | 138,427$59,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,903.56 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 43c | 16,177$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.89 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 8,369$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 53c | 3,350$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 58c | 2,725$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.4 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 1,500$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.65 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 1,283$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 1,239$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.41 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 56c | 787.35$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 46c | 631.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.48 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 47c | 595$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 545.05$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 465.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 463.25$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 44c | 385.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 46c | 263.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Over | 54c | 259.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 253.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 245.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 232.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 64c | 223.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 199.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 57c | 196.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 42c | 195$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 58c | 185.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 55c | 181.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 30c | 170.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 60c | 170$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 157$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 35c | 147.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 45c | 139.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 57c | 139.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 137.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 54c | 134.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 124.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 56c | 114.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 111.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Under | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…1ebebacked Over | 58c | 104.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 53c | 91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 47c | 84.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 82.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 66.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 47c | 63.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 35c | 59.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Over | 56c | 59.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 51c | 50.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 66c | 48.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b5a8backed Over | 55c | 44.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 31c | 43.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 43.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 39.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 45c | 37.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Under | 45c | 35.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 47c | 33.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 46c | 32.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Under | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 63c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 63c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 63c | 17.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.