TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3551…a581

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$16.62
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$30.17
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$8.04
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$18.25
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$5.82
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$5.29
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$86.75
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$180.81
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$82.29
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.52
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.77
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$127.48
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.16
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$9.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Sao Paulo: Luciana Moyano vs Daria Egorovabacked Daria Egorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.82
ITF Olomouc: Daria Kuczer vs Isabella Maria Serbanbacked Daria Kuczer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
ITF Darmstadt: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Tena Lukasbacked Tena Lukas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
ITF Uriage: Florent Bax vs Maxence Rivetbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$7.38
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Mustafa Ege Sikbacked Mustafa Ege Sik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
ITF Brisbane: Matt Hulme vs Joshua Charltonbacked Joshua Charlton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
ITF Rochester: Sean Grosman vs Muhammad Shoaibbacked Sean Grosman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
ITF Sao Paulo: Maria Camila Torres Murcia vs Justina Gonzalez Danielebacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
ITF Louisville: Aleksa Ciric vs Nikita Samuel Filinbacked Nikita Samuel Filin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
ITF Uriage: Damien Clerc vs Rodrigo Alujasbacked Rodrigo Alujas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$9.45
ITF Uriage: Arthur Bonnaud vs Tristan Berardbacked Tristan Berard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
ITF Louisville: Tristan Stringer vs Vignesh Goginenibacked Vignesh Gogineni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+239%+$23.97
ITF Brisbane: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Jizelle Sibaibacked Natsuki Yoshimoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54%+$5.61
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$114
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.52
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$98.84
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.