Tennis · resolved market
ITF Olomouc: Daria Kuczer vs Isabella Maria Serban
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb2b486ba8df1b304ea30bbc8f61a6062eb94207b1b7d11d166d1ad7f74dfe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isabella Maria Serbanof Daria Kuczer, Isabella Maria Serban
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daria Kuczer | 13c | 1,369$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isabella Maria Serban | 56c | 338.27$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Daria Kuczer | 44c | 323.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Daria Kuczer | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daria Kuczer | 45c | 280.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Daria Kuczer | 7c | 252.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Isabella Maria Serban | 55c | 243.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Kuczer | 21c | 178.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daria Kuczer | 46c | 120.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Kuczer | 19c | 91.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Isabella Maria Serban | 77c | 86.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Daria Kuczer | 32c | 82.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Daria Kuczer | 27c | 79.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Isabella Maria Serban | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Isabella Maria Serban | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Isabella Maria Serban | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Daria Kuczer | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Isabella Maria Serban | 57c | 24.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Daria Kuczer | 49c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isabella Maria Serban | 75c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Isabella Maria Serban | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.