Tennis · resolved market
ITF Uriage: Arthur Bonnaud vs Tristan Berard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4576064d473569f0b5ccc29bf37bfc71b9ac9d8914c269cf72c24649c8f5b4c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Bonnaudof Arthur Bonnaud, Tristan Berard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tristan Berard | 32c | 3,141$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…73cfbacked Tristan Berard | 58c | 2,537$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Bonnaud | 42c | 2,002$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Arthur Bonnaud | 71c | 1,262$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.74 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Arthur Bonnaud | 40c | 1,245$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Tristan Berard | 22c | 909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Arthur Bonnaud | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tristan Berard | 26c | 408.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Tristan Berard | 11c | 401.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tristan Berard | 9c | 331.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tristan Berard | 24c | 314.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Tristan Berard | 56c | 274.02$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Arthur Bonnaud | 44c | 254.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tristan Berard | 22c | 240.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Arthur Bonnaud | 41c | 158$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Bonnaud | 79c | 142.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tristan Berard | 22c | 133.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tristan Berard | 21c | 115.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Arthur Bonnaud | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Arthur Bonnaud | 37c | 104$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Tristan Berard | 14c | 103.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tristan Berard | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tristan Berard | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Arthur Bonnaud | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Arthur Bonnaud | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Tristan Berard | 30c | 66.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Arthur Bonnaud | 41c | 65.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Arthur Bonnaud | 67c | 59.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Arthur Bonnaud | 68c | 56.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Arthur Bonnaud | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Arthur Bonnaud | 77c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Arthur Bonnaud | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Arthur Bonnaud | 47c | 40.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Arthur Bonnaud | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Arthur Bonnaud | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…fe78backed Tristan Berard | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Tristan Berard | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Tristan Berard | 60c | 24.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tristan Berard | 57c | 22.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Tristan Berard | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.